RE: SEC Office of the Investor Advocate’s Research Regarding Performance
The SEC’s Office of the Investor Advocate, led by Alycia Chin and co-authors, conducted a behavioral study using experimental and market data from 3,187 equity funds to examine how benchmark presentat
The SEC’s Office of the Investor Advocate, led by Alycia Chin and co-authors, conducted a behavioral study using experimental and market data from 3,187 equity funds to examine how benchmark presentation influences investor decisions, finding that a single outperforming benchmark significantly reduces fund attractiveness and investment allocations—by 8.5 points and $779 respectively—while underperforming benchmarks have no effect; visual graphs, regardless of benchmark type, dramatically increase perceived attractiveness and investment intent compared to no visuals. Sophisticated investors exhibited stronger reactions to benchmark information than less sophisticated ones, and broad versus narrow benchmarks showed no meaningful difference, though market data revealed up to a 484% performance disparity among benchmarks within sectors, suggesting funds may strategically select underperforming benchmarks to artificially enhance their relative performance. The research, which includes no enforcement actions or penalties, concludes that current disclosure practices often fail to improve investor comprehension and may enable deceptive practices under existing regulatory frameworks.
The SEC’s Office of the Investor Advocate, led by Alycia Chin and co-authors, conducted a behavioral study using experimental and market data from 3,187 equity funds to examine how benchmark presentation influences investor decisions, finding that a single outperforming benchmark significantly reduces fund attractiveness and investment allocations—by 8.5 points and $779 respectively—while underperforming benchmarks have no effect; visual graphs, regardless of benchmark type, dramatically increase perceived attractiveness and investment intent compared to no visuals. Sophisticated investors exhibited stronger reactions to benchmark information than less sophisticated ones, and broad versus narrow benchmarks showed no meaningful difference, though market data revealed up to a 484% performance disparity among benchmarks within sectors, suggesting funds may strategically select underperforming benchmarks to artificially enhance their relative performance. The research, which includes no enforcement actions or penalties, concludes that current disclosure practices often fail to improve investor comprehension and may enable deceptive practices under existing regulatory frameworks. A study by the SEC’s Office of the Investor Advocate and co-authors, using Morningstar data on 3,187 equity funds and a behavioral experiment with 366 participants, found that investors significantly reduce their evaluation and allocation to mutual funds when a single benchmark outperforms them—especially sophisticated investors—while the type of benchmark (broad vs. narrow) has minimal impact compared to its relative position; real-world data reveal that funds often select benchmarks with up to 484% lower 10-year returns than alternatives, suggesting strategic benchmark selection to inflate performance perception, and despite investors’ preference for graphical benchmarks, widespread misunderstanding and distrust of benchmarks persist, particularly among less sophisticated investors.
Extracted insights
- $25000.00B $25 trillion ≥$1B
- $6.00M $6,000,000 $1M–$10M
- $200K $200,000 $100K–$1M
- $200K $200,000 $100K–$1M
- $15K $15,000 $10K–$100K
- $12K $12,000 $10K–$100K
- $10K $10,000 $10K–$100K
- $2K $1,618 <$10K
- $1K $1,068 <$10K
- $1K $1,063 <$10K
- $831 $831 <$10K
- $800 $800 <$10K
- person alycia chin
- person brian scholl
- person chief counsel
- person excellent mentorship
- person jay dhar
- person jonathan cook
- person marc sharma
- person principal investigator
- person research report
- person rick fleming
- agency sec office of the investor advocate
- person steven nash
- Marc Sharma is Chief Counsel
- SEC Office of the Investor Advocate prepared research report
- Alycia Chin is Principal Investigator
- Jonathan Cook is Office of the Investor Advocate staff
- Jay Dhar is Office of the Investor Advocate staff
- Brian Scholl is Principal Investigator
- Steven Nash is onsite institutional contractor to OIAD
- Rick Fleming provided excellent mentorship
MEMORANDUM
TO: File No. S7-09-20
FROM: Marc Sharma, Chief Counsel
Office of the Investor Advocate
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
DATE: September 15, 2022
RE: SEC Office of the Investor Advocate’s Research Regarding Performance
Benchmarks
Enclosed is a research report prepared by the SEC’s Office of the Investor Advocate, examining
the impact of mutual fund performance benchmarks on investor decision-making and strategic
behavior by firms. The research described in this report is separate from the Commission’s
release of the Tailored Shareholder Reports, Treatment of Annual Prospectus Updates for
Existing Investors, and Improved Fee and Risk Disclosure for Mutual Funds and Exchange-
Traded Funds; Fee Information in Investment Company Advertisements proposal. However,
because the research provides data that may be relevant for the Commission’s consideration in
the rulemaking, we are submitting it to the public comment file.
1
How do Consumers Understand Investment Quality? The Role of
Performance Benchmarks
Author Note
Alycia Chin, Principal Investigator, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange
Commission, 100 F Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549, ORCID ID: 0000-0002-9570-0549.
Jonathan Cook, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange Commission, 100 F
Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549, ORCID ID: 0000-0001-6067-0960.
Jay Dhar, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange Commission, 100 F Street,
NE, Washington, DC 20549.
Steven Nash, NORC at the University of Chicago, 4350 East-West Hwy 8th Floor, Bethesda, MD
20814
Brian Scholl, Principal Investigator, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange
Commission, 100 F Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549, ORCID ID: 0000-0001-5088-6952.
* The Securities and Exchange Commission disclaims responsibility for any private publication
or statement of any Commission employee or Commissioner. The Commission has expressed no
view regarding the data, analyses, findings, and conclusions contained in this publication, which
does not necessarily reflect the views of the Commission, the Commissioners, or staff of the
Commission.
Acknowledgements
We thank staff at the RAND Corporation and Ipsos for helping us conduct this research,
including Andrew Parker, Katie Carman, Vanessa Parks, and Ying Wang. We also thank staff of
the Securities and Exchange Commission, particularly members of the Office of the Investor
Advocate and Division of Investment Management, for helpful comments on our research design
and background on legal requirements. Brianna Middlewood contributed significant
experimental design and survey expertise during her tenure at the SEC. Steven Nash is an onsite
institutional contractor to OIAD. Rick Fleming provided excellent mentorship in the role of the
SEC’s first Investor Advocate.
2
Contents
How do Consumers Understand Investment Quality? The Role of Performance Benchmarks ..... 1
Author Note .................................................................................................................................... 1
Acknowledgements ......................................................................................................................... 1
Abstract ........................................................................................................................................... 4
1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 5
1.1 Mutual Fund Performance Disclosures ................................................................................. 6
1.2 Related Literature.................................................................................................................. 8
1.3 Research Overview ............................................................................................................... 8
2. Institutional Background on Benchmark Requirements ............................................................. 9
2.1 Distribution of Benchmarks ................................................................................................ 10
2.2 Performance Variation in Benchmarks ............................................................................... 13
3. Experimental Design ................................................................................................................. 14
3.1 Qualitative and Quantitative Pilot Studies .......................................................................... 15
3.2 Stimuli Selection and Construction .................................................................................... 16
3.3 Recruitment and Sample Characteristics ............................................................................ 17
3.4 Experimental Design and Measures.................................................................................... 19
4. Predictions and Decisions ......................................................................................................... 21
5. Empirical Results ...................................................................................................................... 22
3.1 Effects on Subjective Evaluations: Fund Attractiveness .................................................... 24
3.2 Effects on Incentivized Behavior: Allocation to Middlewood ........................................... 25
3.3 Broad vs. Narrow Benchmarks ........................................................................................... 25
3.4 Subgroup Analysis .............................................................................................................. 26
3.4.1 Investor Subgroup Variable Creation .......................................................................... 26
3.4.2 Attractiveness Evaluations by Investor Subgroup ....................................................... 27
3.4.3 Allocation Decisions by Investor Subgroup ................................................................ 29
3.5 Deviations from expected utility maximizing allocations .................................................. 30
3.6 Search Effort ....................................................................................................................... 33
6. Survey Responses by Investor Subgroup .................................................................................. 34
7. Analysis of Benchmark Performance Data ............................................................................... 38
8. General Discussion ................................................................................................................... 41
3
8.1 Summary of Findings .......................................................................................................... 41
8.2 Limitations .......................................................................................................................... 44
8.3 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 44
References ..................................................................................................................................... 46
Appendices .................................................................................................................................... 51
Appendix A. Additional Figures on Performance Variation .................................................... 51
Appendix B. Additional Information on Qualitative Pilot ........................................................ 57
Appendix C. Additional Detail on Experimental Stimuli ......................................................... 60
Full set of graphs shown ....................................................................................................... 60
Appendix D. Assignment to Treatment .................................................................................... 62
Appendix E. Supplementary Regression Tables ....................................................................... 63
4
Abstract
We study the impact of mutual fund performance benchmarks on investor decision-
making and potential for strategic behavior by firms in displaying benchmarks. In displaying
performance, fund companies are required to present a broad-based securities market index
(“broad benchmark”), and an optional secondary (“narrow”) benchmark that, in some instances,
can be more representative of the fund’s sector or strategy. Importantly, fund companies have
discretion over the choice of benchmarks, within the confines that the benchmarks they select
must meet the criteria that the federal securities laws require, presenting opportunity for strategic
selection. Our research examines market data and the results of a large behavioral experiment to
understand how fund companies employ benchmarks and how investors respond to the
presentation of benchmarks.
Standard economic theory does not provide a straightforward role for how benchmarks
affect investor decisions. In the experiment, we examine two primary outcomes: (1) subjective
attractiveness ratings for a synthetic fund and (2) an incentive-compatible participation outcome
that offers participants the choice between our fund and a guaranteed return over a six-month
holding period. We administer treatment conditions that vary the number of benchmarks
presented, the relative position of the benchmark vis-à-vis our synthetic fund, the use of broad or
narrow benchmarks, and the use of narrative text. Our results indicate that investors respond to
benchmarks. In particular, subjective attractiveness ratings are much lower when participants
view fund performance accompanied by a single benchmark that outperforms the fund. This
decrease in attractiveness also occurs, to a lesser extent, when participants view two benchmarks
that both outperform and underperform the fund. Allocations to the synthetic fund are also lower
when participants see a single benchmark above the fund. Surprisingly, participants with higher
investment sophistication appear to react most strongly to benchmarks ( rather than lower
sophistication individuals). Additionally, the distinction between narrow and broad benchmarks
and the narrative descriptive text about the benchmarks do not have a differential impact beyond
the position of the benchmark. Finally, using an economic model, we ask what type of
benchmark presentation gets investors closest to their optimal allocation, finding that conditions
with no benchmark and with two benchmarks minimize distortions.
Using data from the Morningstar Direct database, we contextualize these findings and the
concerns that our results raise in situations where funds have discretion regarding the selection of
benchmarks. Specifically, we document performance variation of benchmarks within a given
sector, as well as the decision to present a secondary benchmark. Ultimately, these patterns raise
the possibility that funds can pick benchmarks that satisfy the requirements for permissible
benchmarks, but are relatively poor performing as compared to other permissible benchmarks.
This would put the fund’s relative performance in a more positive light, which may affect
investors’ evaluations and investment decisions.
Keywords: mutual fund performance, benchmarks
5
1. Introduction
Every day, American investors use a variety of financial products to pursue their financial
goals. Investors express interest in using mutual funds
1
to fund retirement, save for educational
expenses, and protect against emergencies (ICI, 2021a), contributing to a growing, $25 trillion
mutual fund industry.
To ensure that investors receive the information they need to make decisions about
investments, regulations require financial institutions to provide “disclosures,” informational
documents that include product terms and agreements (Kozup et al., 2012). Numerous
regulations require disclosures of important attributes of investment products. For example,
financial regulations require that disclosures such as the “prospectus” document contain a wealth
of information on fees and expenses, risks, objectives, and performance (for requirements for
open-ended funds, see Form N-1A, the registration form for these funds). Despite the prevalence
of disclosure requirements, there is significant debate about the ability of consumers to
comprehend mandatory disclosures and the corresponding usefulness of these disclosures to
guide decisions (e.g., Ben-Shahar and Schneider, 2011).
The current research examines industry practices regarding historical performance
information and disclosures of that information. In particular, we examine fund choices of
mutual fund “benchmarks,” comparisons that are required to be present in many fund
disclosures, and that may help investors contextualize fund performance; the requirements for
benchmarks are described further in Section 2.
We concentrate on performance for a few reasons. First, this is an area that is important
to existing and prospective investors; investors report that performance information is important
to them (ICI, 2021b) and significant research, described further below, shows that performance
information attracts attention. Second, the normative and descriptive roles of benchmark
information in decision-making are not entirely clear, with different theories providing different
guidance regarding whether benchmarks should be impactful or ignored. Potential disagreement
about the role of benchmarks makes this area a fruitful one for empirical testing. Finally, a
recent rule proposal by the Securities and Exchange Commission addressed, in part, funds’ use
of performance benchmark indexes.
2
In this paper, we use several research methods to triangulate the role and the effects of
benchmarks. Most importantly, we conducted a behavioral experiment using a large, nationally
representative study population to determine how investors’ evaluations of funds and investment
behavior respond to benchmarks, and we conducted extensive market data analysis to understand
how benchmarks are used. We also conducted a small number of formative qualitative interviews
with investors to better design our main research methodologies.
1
In this paper, the term “funds” refers to open-end funds registered on Form N-1A.
2
See Tailored Shareholder Reports, Treatment of Annual Prospectus Updates for Existing Investors, and Improved Fee and Risk Disclosure for
Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds; Fee Information in Investment Company Advertisements, Investment Company Act Release No.
33963 (Aug. 5, 2020) [85 FR 70716 (Nov. 5, 2020)]. (“2020 Shareholder Reports Proposal”).
6
1.1 Mutual Fund Performance Disclosures
Extant research demonstrates that investors care about historical performance of
investments. Research consistently shows that investors prioritize information on investment
performance (Barber, Odean, and Zheng 2005; Pontari, Stanaland, and Smythe 2009; Scholl,
Craig, and Chin, 2022). One common theory for why investors weigh historical information
heavily is that they expect historical returns to persist. Indeed, attention to performance
information persists even in the face of statements that funds are required to include in their
disclosure that the fund’s past performance is not necessarily an indication of how the fund will
perform in the future (Johnson, Tellis, and VanBergen, 2022).
3
When presenting historical performance data in prospectuses and shareholder reports,
funds are required to provide a benchmark that investors can use to make comparisons. A fund
references an “appropriate broad-based securities market index,” which we refer to as a “broad
benchmark” for brevity. These benchmarks represent broad market activity (e.g., S&P 500).
Funds may also reference additional, more narrowly based indexes that reflect the market sectors
in which the fund invests, which we refer to as “narrow benchmarks” (more details in the next
section). For instance, a fund specializing in the materials sector might display its performance
against a materials sector index (a “narrow” benchmark).
There are at least three theories regarding why benchmarks could affect investors’
decision-making. First, if investors are imperfectly informed about the distribution of
performance information – possibly because it is difficult to search through an industry with over
8,000 mutual fund options – then providing a benchmark could provide a shortcut to
distributional information that allows investors to avert costly search (Hortaҫsu and Syverson,
2004). Second, a benchmark could provide information about market shocks (“factors” in
arbitrage pricing theory), contextualizing factors and events that the fund cannot avoid. A
narrow benchmark provides information about the return relative to the factors that the fund is
exposed to. Again, following this theory, benchmark information could provide information
about the overall performance of a fund. Third, psychological theory suggests that, to increase
understanding and help people with unfamiliar or otherwise difficult-to-evaluate products,
disclosures should provide decision makers with meaningful comparisons (e.g., Chin and Bruine
de Bruin 2019; Hsee 1996; Hsee and Zhang 2010; Larrick et al. 2015). As such, it is possible that
benchmarks help drive evaluations by providing a salient comparison. When the Commission
adopted the requirement to present fund performance against an appropriate broad-based
securities market index, the Commission stated that the index comparison requirement is
designed to show how much value the management of the fund added by showing whether the
fund “out-performed” or “under-performed” the market.
4
3
See, e.g., Items 4(b)(i) and 27(b)(7)(ii) of Form N-1A; rule 482(b)(3)(i) under the Securities Act of 1933.
4
See Disclosure of Mutual Fund Performance and Portfolio Managers, Investment Company Act Release No. 19382 (Apr. 6, 1993) [58 FR 19050
(Apr. 12, 1993)] (“1993 Mutual Fund Performance Disclosure Final Rules”); see also Tailored Shareholder Reports, Treatment of Annual
Prospectus Updates for Existing Investors, and Improved Fee and Risk Disclosure for Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds; Fee
Information in Investment Company Advertisements, Investment Company Act Release No. 33963 (Aug. 5, 2020) [85 FR 70716 (Nov. 5, 2020)]
7
There are also reasons why benchmarks could have limited effects. In situations where a
fund’s historical performance is disclosed, and the fund’s performance itself is the decision-
relevant attribute, it is not clear what information is gained from a benchmark. The strictest
reading of a classic Rational Expectations framework, which assumes perfect information and no
limitations on information processing ability, would imply that investors would be highly
informed regardless of the fund’s provision of a benchmark. While these assumptions may not
be tenable for real-world investment behavior, especially for retail investors, it can be useful to
treat this framework as a logical comparison. A second reason why benchmarks may have a
limited impact is that some investors may believe that funds choose benchmarks strategically, in
an attempt to influence investor evaluations. In this case, investors may consciously attempt to
ignore benchmark comparisons. Third, investors who do not understand what the benchmark
information is supposed to represent may ignore it. Thus, there are some reasons why investors
may not respond to benchmark information.
Finally, if a benchmark is not well-matched to a fund, it could provide a confusing or
distorting signal about whether a fund is performing relatively well. Active share is defined as
the percentage of a fund’s holdings that differ from their benchmark (Cremers and Petajisto,
2009); f unds that have higher active share have more potential to deviate from their benchmarks.
Indeed, this critique has been raised by industry in stating that, for instance, specialized sector
funds should not need to be compared to a “broad-based” benchmark, like the S&P 500 (Fidelity,
2021; ICI, 2020; John Hancock, 2021). If investors face benchmarks they believe are not well-
matched, it is possible they find that information irrelevant. At the same time, financial
regulations offer funds at least some discretion on the choice of benchmarks.
5
This discretion
raises the possibility that some funds could choose benchmarks strategically to make the fund
appear more attractive to current or potential investors. Prior work, focusing on the role of
narrow benchmarks, has found that some funds’ benchmarks do not provide the best match in
terms of exposure to market factors (as in Sensoy, 2009) or in terms of holdings (as in Cremers,
Fulkerson, and Riley, 2022). The extent to which such strategic selections occur, and the extent
of their influence on investors, remains an open question for future research. Evaluating funds
relative to their benchmarks can also give rise to other behaviors. There are incentives for fund
managers to incorporate their benchmark in their fund’s holdings to hedge against poor
performance relative to the benchmark (Pavlova and Sikorskaya, 2022).
Proposal (proposing changes to funds’ shareholder report contents and presentation, but proposing to retain the requirement for funds to present
performance in relation to an appropriate broad-based securities market index).
5
See Instruction 5 to Form N-1A Item 27A(b)(7) (defining “appropriate broad-based securities market index”) and Instruction 6 to Form N-1A
Item 27A(b)(7) (encouraging a fund, in addition to comparing its performance to the required broad-based index, also to include other more
narrowly based indexes that reflect the market sectors in which the fund invests). Both instructions provide flexibility to the fund to choose the
indexes it includes in its performance presentation, within the parameters that the instructions specify. See also Disclosure of Mutual Fund
Performance and Portfolio Managers, Investment Company Act Release No. 19382 (Apr. 6, 1993) [58 FR 19050 (Apr. 12, 1993)] (stating that the
final rules’ instruction requiring the inclusion of an appropriate broad-based securities market index “gives a fund considerable flexibility in
selecting a broad-based index that it believes best reflects the market(s) in which it invests).”
8
1.2 Related Literature
Our work is related to several existing areas of academic research. There are two closely
related papers. The first is Sensoy (2009), which finds that mutual funds flows respond to the
performance of the fund relative to the prospectus benchmark. The second is Mullaly and Rossi
(2022), which analyzes changes to mutual funds’ self-declared benchmarks using prospectus
data. This paper finds that funds change indexes in a manner that improves relative-benchmark
performance; that is, they are more likely to add indexes with lower past returns and drop
indexes with higher past returns. Unlike these papers, we do not analyze benchmark changes.
Instead, we examine the mechanism behind investors’ decisions, including perceptions of future
risk and return and performance relative to other options. Additionally, we use a mix of
experimental and industry data, whereas these authors concentrate on fund data.
We also contribute to several broader literatures. First, a large and growing literature
conducts randomized evaluations of information provision. For mutual funds in particular,
related papers include Choi, Laibson, and Madrian (2010); Kozup, Howlett, and Pagano (2008);
and Thorp, Bateman, Dobrescu, Newell, and Ortmann (2020). Within household finance, similar
work is conducted by Chin and Bruine de Bruin (2019) for credit cards, Lacko and Pappalardo
(2010) for mortgages, and Chin et al. (2022) for overdraft.
Second, we contribute to literature on households’ subjective probabilities (for a review,
see Bruine de Bruin, Chin, Dominitz, and van der Klauuw, 2022) and more specifically, how
information experiments affect beliefs. The number of papers on this topic are growing,
including for topics like inflation and home prices (e.g., Armantier, Nelson, Topa, van der
Klaauw and Zafar, 2016; Armona, Fuster, and Zafar, 2016).
Third, we speak to research examining search costs within the investment industry.
Various papers model retail investors as having high search costs, assuming that investors
randomly sample other mutual funds and stop when search costs are “too high” (see Hortaҫsu
and Syverson, 2004). Survey data from Choi and Robertson (2020) support the idea of search
costs, as 40% of non-investors in their nationally representative sample say that the costs of
learning about stocks are an important factor in why they do not participate in the stock market.
Other empirical papers include Roussanov, Ruan, and Wei (2021), in which an average investor
implicitly incurs a cost equivalent of foregoing 0.39% return on investment every time a fund is
sampled. Hortaҫsu and Syverson (2004) estimate search costs for index funds between 11 and 20
basis points.
1.3 Research Overview
We proceed in the following sections: First, we describe the institutional background in
detail, including regulatory requirements on fund disclosure of benchmarks (Section 2). Next, we
describe the state of benchmark disclosure using an analysis of the Morningstar Direct database,
which includes data on mutual funds and their associated benchmarks. We provide statistics on
the prevalence of certain common benchmarks and show that, within every sector, there are at
9
least a dozen unique benchmarks for funds to choose from (Section 2.1). Performance of these
benchmarks can vary by over 400% over a 10-year period (Section 2.2). In Sections 3 and 5, we
describe the setup and results of our experiment, in which we measure how investors and non-
investors respond to variation in disclosure of mutual fund benchmarks. We find that
participants respond to benchmark presentations, with variation in subjective evaluations of
funds and incentivized investment decisions. Perhaps surprisingly, given the prominence of
beliefs regarding future performance in economic models of investing (e.g., Markowitz, 1952;
Sharpe, 1964), and the role expectations often play in theoretical and empirical work on investor
behavior (e.g. Giglio, Maggiori, Stroebel, and Utkus, 2021; Barberis, Jin, and Wang, 2021), we
find limited evidence that expectations of future performance differ across conditions (Section
3.5). Also surprisingly, non-investors – the least sophisticated participants – were relatively
unaffected by benchmark presentation (Section 3.4). In Section 6, we describe survey results
regarding benchmarks. In Section 7, we return to an analysis of Morningstar Direct to provide
further descriptive evidence on the potential for strategic behavior by funds in benchmark
disclosure. Section 8 summarizes and concludes.
2. Institutional Background on Benchmark Requirements
Financial regulations require funds to provide comparative information when presenting
performance data in their shareholder reports.
6
Specifically, if sufficient history is available,
funds must provide a line graph that shows 10 fiscal years of performance, accompanied by an
“appropriate broad-based securities market index,” in annual shareholder reports that are
provided to existing investors. Funds may also provide this line graph in semi-annual shareholder
reports. In both reports’ line graphs, funds have the option of presenting performance relative to
one or more additional indexes. These additional indexes can be “broad-based,” as with the first,
or more narrowly tailored to the assets and strategy of the fund.
7
For brevity, we refer to both of
these indexes as “benchmarks,” and distinguish between “broad-based” and “narrow”
benchmarks. Benchmarks also are required to be provided in the performance disclosure that
appears in funds’ statutory prospectuses and summary prospectuses, and they commonly are
provided in fund advertising as well.
6
See id.
7
Mutual funds’ prospectus and shareholder report disclosures are governed by Form N-1A. Instruction 5 to Item 27, “Financial Statements” in
Form N-1A states, “For purposes of this Item, an “appropriate broad-based securities market index” is one that is administered by an organization
that is not an affiliated person of the Fund, its investment adviser, or principal underwriter, unless the index is widely recognized and used. Adjust
the index to reflect the reinvestment of dividends on securities in the index, but do not reflect the expenses of the Fund.” Instruction 6 to this
Item states, “A Fund is encouraged to compare its performance not only to the required broad-based index, but also to other more narrowly based
indexes that reflect the market sectors in which the Fund invests. A Fund also may compare its performance to an additional broad-based index,
or to a non-securities index (e.g., the Consumer Price Index), so long as the comparison is not misleading.” See
https://www.sec.gov/files/formn-
1a.pdf.
10
2.1 Distribution of Benchmarks
The benchmarks chosen by mutual funds that appear in their statutory prospectuses are
captured in the Morningstar Direct open-ended fund database. We analyze data on benchmarks
from Morningstar database as of March 2022, the most recent complete month of data available
as of the time of this writing. In these analyses, we concentrate only on equity funds. We
remove target date funds, since they are less likely to concentrate on performance than changes
in risk profile; this focus is reflected in use of blended benchmarks with weights that are
continually adjusted as they approach their target date. We also remove index funds because
their goal is to track benchmarks. This brings our data set to 3,187 mutual funds. Benchmarks are
the same for all share classes within a given fund.
The Morningstar database captures “primary” and “secondary” indexes. However,
because there is no ordering requirement for fund benchmarks, Morningstar’s identification of
primary and secondary benchmarks could provide an imperfect mapping to “broad” and
“narrow” indexes as described in regulatory requirements. As such, we reclassified benchmarks
as broad and narrow based on the correlation of the benchmark with the S&P 500, so that the
benchmark with the highest correlation was identified as the broad benchmark and subsequent
benchmarks were considered as the secondary. In the text, we occasionally use “broad” and
“primary” and “narrow” and “secondary” interchangeably.
8
Nearly all funds have at least one benchmark listed, with a handful of missing
benchmarks in the data for funds with recent inception dates.
9
In contrast, approximately 70% of
funds choose not to include a second benchmark (left panel of Figure 1). Table 1 displays the 10
most common primary and secondary benchmarks in the database. In cases where a fund has
two benchmarks listed, we define the primary benchmark as the benchmark with the largest
correlation with the S&P 500 Index,
10
which is the most commonly used benchmark. As shown
in the table, the S&P 500 Total Return Index accounts for 23% of the primary benchmarks.
Among the list of the most common benchmarks, there are a set of arguably broad benchmarks, a
set of arguably sector-specific benchmarks, and a set of global or emerging market benchmarks.
Some indexes appear in both lists (e.g., Russell 2000 Value Total Return and Russell 1000
Growth Total Return). The table does not show the least common benchmarks. In the top 12
8
In considering individual fund’s choices of benchmarks, we also found cases in which the benchmarks chosen by funds were difficult to
interpret in the sense of broad and narrow benchmarks. In separate analysis (not shown) we also used alternative definitions corresponding to
“broad” and “narrow”, including Morningstar classifications of Primary and Secondary. Analyses from these classifications provided
qualitatively identical and quantitatively similar results. Note also that Morningstar captures only two benchmarks (or less) for each fund, but we
have observed cases in which more than two benchmarks are used by a fund.
9
To verify the data, we randomly selected 105 funds and pulled benchmark information for those funds from the funds’ prospectus documents.
We found that the primary benchmarks matched in 104 cases and did not match in one case. The secondary benchmarks matched in 97 cases, and
did not match in eight cases.
10
According to the S&P Dow Jones Indices website (https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/#overview), “The S&P 500® is
widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. According to our Annual Survey of Assets, an estimated USD 13.5 trillion is
indexed or benchmarked to the index, with indexed assets comprising approximately USD 5.4 trillion of this total (as of Dec. 31, 2020). The
index includes 500 leading companies and covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization.” In addition to being the most
commonly used benchmark by fund companies, it is commonly used in academic studies, and it is widely recognized: “in the US, the most widely
known market value-weighted stock index is the S&P 500” (Beneish and Whaley, 1997); and “The S&P 500 Index is widely recognized as
reflecting the overall state of the U.S. economy...” (Latham and Braun, 2010).
11
sectors by fund count, 10.8% of funds use a primary benchmark used by less than 5 funds in their
sector. For secondary benchmarks, this figure is 16.0%.
Figure 1. Number of Unique Benchmarks and Percentage of Funds with Benchmarks.
Table 1. Ten Most Common Primary and Secondary Benchmarks.
Note. This table shows the most common primary and secondary benchmarks used by funds.
The percent column for primary benchmarks show the percentage of total funds analyzed with
that primary benchmark (i.e., out of our sample of 3,187). The percent column for the secondary
benchmark shows the percentage of funds with that benchmark, among those that choose to have
any secondary benchmark (i.e., of 959 funds).
To better understand the relationship between these indexes, we next explored the
correlations between them. Specifically, we calculated the correlation between each primary
index and the S&P 500 Index using monthly data over the past 10 years. Figure 2 displays the
12
proportion of funds whose benchmark meets or exceeds a given correlation “threshold.” The
curve is downward sloping, demonstrating that, as the correlation threshold increases (to the
right on the graph), the proportion of funds meeting that threshold necessarily decreases. The
23% of funds that use the S&P 500 Index as their primary benchmark are displayed at the right-
most extreme of the graph, with a correlation of 1.00. Finally, the red vertical lines display
example correlations between a selected index and the S&P 500 Index. As shown, other broad-
based security market indexes (e.g. the Wilshire 5000 Index) were extremely highly correlated
with the S&P 500 Index. An index like the MSCI ACWI Index, which reflects large- and mid-
cap stocks,
11
has a correlation of 0.96. Notably, many of the most common sector benchmarks
also were highly correlated with the S&P 500 Index (about 0.90 to 0.97). Even among the
common global indices, some indices had a correlation with the S&P 500 Index of over 0.95.
Nevertheless, in our data, only about half of funds present at least one benchmark that has a
correlation with the S&P 500 Index of 0.95 or above (Figure 2).
Figure 2. Distribution of Benchmark Correlations with S&P 500 Index.
11
According to the MSCI website (https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/indexes/acwi), “The MSCI ACWI Index, MSCI’s flagship global equity
index, is designed to represent performance of the full opportunity set of large- and mid-cap stocks across 23 developed and 24 emerging
markets. As of May 2022, it covers more than 2,933 constituents across 11 sectors and approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market
capitalization in each market.”
13
Note. This figure displays the proportion of funds that have a benchmark with the S&P 500
Index at a given correlation threshold or higher. Correlations are calculated using monthly levels
of the benchmark and S&P 500 Index.
2.2 Performance Variation in Benchmarks
Figure 1 also shows number of unique benchmarks used for each of the top 12 sectors (by
fund count). It suggests that, at the minimum, funds in a given sector use at least 10 distinct
benchmarks. However, the number of benchmarks that exist within a given sector can be higher.
For example, funds in the Large Blend category jointly use 39 unique secondary benchmarks.
To further explore variation in of benchmark performance, Figure 3 below illustrates the
degree of variation in the performance of benchmarks used. Specifically, we plot the value of a
hypothetical $10,000 investment over the period September 2011 to September 2021 for each
benchmark in each sector (see additional sectors in Appendix A). The charts are split by primary
and secondary benchmarks. In every case, there is a wide gap between the returns of the best and
worst performing benchmarks; in Figure 3, for example the ratio of highest to lowest return
benchmarks is 4.84 for primary benchmarks, meaning that performance could be 484% higher
for a high-performing benchmark versus a low-performing one within the same sector. This
variation demonstrates that funds within a given sector are using benchmarks that vary widely in
performance.
14
Figure 3. Variation in benchmark performance among US Large Growth Value Funds.
Note. Graph displays performance of a $10,000 investment over a 10-year period. Each black
line represents an index that is used by a fund. See Appendix A for additional examples.
3. Experimental Design
To understand the role of benchmarks in investors’ decision-making, we use a controlled
experiment that helps abstract away from the specific properties of any particular benchmark. In
the experiment, we vary displays of cumulative performance information in a between-subjects
design, and measure participants’ subjective evaluations and investment choices. The
experimental design consists of eight randomly assigned benchmark presentation conditions. We
focus on two main outcomes: our primary outcome of interest is participants’ subjective
evaluation of the attractiveness of a hypothetical “Middlewood Materials Fund”; our secondary
outcome relates to an incentive-compatible participation game in which participants chose to
allocate a fraction of a hypothetical $15,000 investment balance between investment in the fund
and a savings account paying a fixed interest rate. Additionally, to better understand consumers’
beliefs about benchmarks, we collect nationally representative survey data on different
statements about benchmarks.
15
3.1 Qualitative and Quantitative Pilot Studies
Before running our experiment, we conducted qualitative and quantitative pilot studies.
Our qualitative pilot study included interviews with 16 geographically disbursed U.S. investors,
recruited from the AmeriSpeak panel administered by NORC at the University of Chicago. All
of the participants reported owning “mutual funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs) or similar
pooled investments” in a screening survey. Additionally, we sampled participants with a range
of both high and low mutual fund literacy (as assessed by Scholl and Fontes, 2021). Interviews
took place online in October and November 2021.
During the interviews, participants reviewed a three-page mockup of a shareholder report
that featured a hypothetical “Middlewood Small Cap Fund.” The interviews started by collecting
general impressions of the document and understanding of the fund’s fees. Next, participants
viewed four versions of a 10-year performance graph.
12
For all participants, presentation of
graphs went as follows: the first graph showed the fund’s performance alone; the second was a
randomly assigned graph that displayed the fund with either a narrow benchmark or broad-based
benchmark (represented by the Russell 2000 Small Cap Value Index or the S&P 500 Index,
respectively); a third graph displayed the fund with both benchmarks; and the final graph
included text explaining the benchmarks (see Appendix B). The rationale for introducing
benchmarks in this way was to gain initial insight on how introduction of benchmark information
could affect fund evaluations after the participant had provided an initial impression without the
benchmark. As noted in Section 2 above, the S&P 500 Index is the most common broad-based
market index. The Russell 2000 Small Cap Value I ndex was selected by examining the
performance of all narrow benchmarks currently used by small cap funds with at least ten years
of performance history in their prospectus disclosures and selecting the benchmark representing
US small cap funds with the worst cumulative performance over the prior ten years. This allowed
us to gain preliminary insight on how investors might react to a benchmark line that is relatively
poor performing over the period. In the qualitative study, the monthly returns of the
Middlewood Small Cap Fund were generated by adding a small positive alpha and some noise to
the narrow benchmark. The noise was generated such that for a random 20% of months a small
amount was added or subtracted from the returns. This was done so that the fluctuations of the
fund and narrow benchmark did not match exactly, but so that fund volatility did not
differ substantially from the benchmark.
For the purposes of the current research, we highlight only three findings from the
interviews (see some additional discussion in Appendix B). First, they suggested that
benchmarks could affect participants’ interpretation of mutual fund performance, as all
participants stated something about relative performance between the fund and one or both
benchmarks. For example, one participant noted, “Clearly the fund has outperformed the small
cap value index, fairly significantly over time” (Male, 65 years old). Most participants appeared
12
Graphical performance information is often contained in other informational content such as fund prospectuses, as well as fact sheets and other
advertisements. These other informational sources have differing regulations on the presentation of information. While our findings in this study
are generalizable to the use of graphical benchmark information in many contexts, we focused on the requirements for shareholder reports.
16
to react to the inclusion of benchmarks by updating their subjective evaluation of the fund in
reaction to the relative position of the line. So when a reference line was provided with inferior
performance over the ten-year period, we tended to observe that participants updated their
evaluation of the fund in a more positive way, while a reference line with superior performance
seemed to lead to a more negative impression of the fund. A second preliminary takeaway was
that some participants were not familiar with specific benchmarks, for instance, “I don’t know
what the Russell 2000 is, and I can’t compare against something where I don’t know what it is”
(Female, 24 years old). Such confusion led us to attempt to clarify the benchmarks by adding
text describing the benchmarks underneath the graphs (as described in the “narrative” conditions
below). Third, participants mentioned some (often mistaken) beliefs in response to the
performance graph. For example, one participant stated, referring to the fund and the narrow
index, that “One is ‘value fund’ and one is ‘value index’ so it’s not clear if the index is part of the
fund.” Following the mental models approach (Morgan, Fischhoff, Bostrom, and Atman, 2001),
such statements informed particular survey items we administered in the experiment, primarily
described in Section 6.
Our quantitative pilot study was conducted in March 2022 and included 366 participants
recruited from the Ipsos Knowledge Panel, which is also used for the full experiment. The main
purpose of this pilot was to evaluate the specific framework used for the allocation decisions
described below, the appearance of the stimuli on personal devices, the overall length of the
survey, and other operational details of survey administration (e.g., sampling). Following the
quantitative pilot, we simplified certain question to reduce respondent burden. Pilot participants
are not included in the analyses below.
3.2 Stimuli Selection and Construction
For this study, we carefully designed our stimuli (for additional detail, see Appendix C).
Our research questions required two criteria be met. First, we needed to present narrow and
broad-based benchmarks so that we could determine whether this classification differentially
affected participants’ reactions to the disclosed information. Second, to isolate the effect of
benchmark classification and avoid confounding effects of performance differences, we needed
to be able to present narrow and broad-based benchmarks with identical performance. Further,
we believed that presenting benchmarks that performed both better than, and worse than, the
Middlewood Fund would provide the most interesting theoretical variation.
To satisfy these criteria, we used the Morningstar Direct database to identify a naturally
occurring set of four benchmarks. Specifically, we selected two narrow benchmarks that could
apply to a materials fund. We also identified two broad-based benchmarks that had similar
performance to the two narrow benchmarks. In the end, this process yielded two pairs of
benchmarks; in each pair, there was one narrow and one broad-based benchmark that had similar
cumulative 10-year performance and variance. Between the two pairs, there was a performance
difference (11% vs. 16% annual return on average over 10 years); the Middlewood Materials
17
Fund is a synthetic fund constructed to fall between these two figures. The fact that we were
able to identify such pairings of benchmarks used by actual funds within an actual market sector
highlights the flexibility of current disclosure rules (i.e., the discretion that funds have over the
choice of benchmarks) and the potential for strategic selection of benchmarks by firms.
To provide the impression that the benchmarks were broad-based or narrow, we named
them the “Imprimiis Total US Market 1000 Index” or “Imprimiis Materials Select Index,”
respectively. In certain “narrative” conditions, we addressed the potential concern raised by
participants in the qualitative pretest that they were unfamiliar with certain benchmarks.
Specifically, we explained the meaning of the two benchmarks by saying “This graph compares
the Middlewood Materials Fund to two indexes. The first index, the Imprimiis Total US Market
1000 Index, allows you to see how the fund is performing relative to the US stock market as a
whole. The second index, the Imprimiis Materials Select Index, allows you to see how the fund
is performing relative to an index with similar investments in the materials sector.”
13
This text
was reviewed by securities market experts to ensure it was realistic.
3.3 Recruitment and Sample Characteristics
We recruited participants using the Ipsos Knowledge Panel, a nationally representative
internet panel.
14
The Ipsos panel includes approximately 60,000 members who were recruited
via probability-based sampling methods. The Knowledge Panel provides computers and internet
connections for respondents who do not have them at the time of panel recruitment. Each
panelist provides basic demographics upon enrollment, as well as survey responses on various
topics (such as financial behaviors, a subjective assessment of their credit score, and health
insurance coverage). They receive incentives for completing each survey and are automatically
entered into sweepstakes for additional gift cards or cash. For this survey, respondents could
also receive payments for their investment decisions, which we describe below. We began with
a subsample of the Knowledge Panel that included only US citizens aged 18 or older.
Table 2 presents summary data for the samples of valid observations that were
randomized into treatment or control. Demographic characteristics are drawn from data that the
respondent provided to Ipsos upon enrollment in the panel. Missing covariates were collected
via survey questions at the end of the experiment if necessary. Using a variety of procedures, we
verified that random assignment worked insofar as the experiment was balanced (for additional
detail on one, see Appendix D).
13
In another condition, we had an additional sentence saying, “These indexes allow you to better understand the performance of alternative
investment options.” However, there were no significant differences between this longer narrative and its shorter counterpart on our primary
outcome measures, and therefore we collapsed these two conditions in our analyses.
14
This Ipsos panel has been used by many other studies, including reports by other regulators, see, for example, Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau (2020).
18
Table 2. Summary statistics for study participants.
Variable Mean Std. dev.
Age 52.40 16.90
Male 0.51 0.50
Income in $1000s (based from bin midpoints) 95.00 55.70
Net assets ($)
15
422,000 950,000
Race/ethnicity
White Non-Hispanic 0.71 0.46
Black Non-Hispanic 0.10 0.30
Other Non-Hispanic 0.05 0.22
Hispanic 0.11 0.32
Two or More Races 0.03 0.17
Education
No high school diploma or GED 0.06 0.23
High school graduate (high school diploma or the
equivalent GED)
0.25 0.43
Some college or Associate's degree 0.28 0.45
Bachelor's degree 0.24 0.43
Master's degree or higher 0.18 0.39
Investor type
Non-investors 0.32 0.47
Retirement-only investors 0.24 0.43
Independent investors 0.45 0.50
Investment ownership
Report owning investments that track the overall US
stock market, like an S&P 500 Index fund or a Dow
Jones Industrial Average fund
0.27 0.44
Report owning investments with a concentration in
industrial manufacturing or materials
0.08 0.27
Investment knowledge
Mutual fund knowledge score (0-11) 4.32 3.06
Knowledge of sector return beliefs (0-3) 1.21 0.89
Prediction error for beliefs about S&P 500 growth
(distance to true growth rate, in percentage points)
11.28 15.26
Device used to answer survey
Computer 0.45 0.50
Tablet 0.12 0.33
15
Due to some abnormal submissions by participants regarding their net wealth, submissions that were below the 1
st
percentile (-$200,000) of
reported net worth or above the 99
th
percentile ($6,000,000) of reported net worth were set to -$200,000 and $6,000,000, respectively. These
trimmed values were then used in all analyses instead of the original abnormal submitted values.
19
Variable Mean Std. dev.
Mobile 0.41 0.49
Other 0.01 0.12
3.4 Experimental Design and Measures
Participants began the experiment by answering survey questions about their household’s
financial management, beliefs about the 10-year historical performance of the S&P 500 index
(gone up, gone down, or stayed the same, with an annual percent change follow-up), and how
specialized sectors (technology, healthcare, and manufacturing) had performed over that period.
We used these variables to assess general familiarity and knowledge of investing.
Next participants considered a scenario in which they had inherited $15,000 in the
Middlewood Materials Fund, a fund that “invests in companies that collect and process raw
materials” and charges expenses of 0.25% per year.
16
They were randomized to one of eight
conditions that varied in terms of graphical presentations (see Figure 4 for an example; full
stimuli in Appendix C). The “fund only” condition included a cumulative performance graph
that displayed only the Middlewood Materials Fund, and acted as the control condition for the
majority of the analyses. Six of the other conditions included additional benchmarks (narrow
only, broad-based only, or both), that varied in placement (if the respective benchmark(s) were
outperforming or underperforming the Middlewood Fund). The final “no graph” condition did
not include any performance information, and was designed to measure how historical
performance information influenced beliefs about the Middlewood Fund’s future performance.
In the two conditions where both benchmarks were shown, participants were also randomly
assigned to see narrative text, or not, to assess the relative impact of explaining the benchmarks’
content.
16
This expense ratio is at the 13th percentile for funds with that specialization since 2000 (which are observed every year for each fund that exists
in that year), based on the Morningstar data.
20
Figure 4. Example of experimental stimuli for a condition with both benchmarks.
Participants reported their subjective evaluations of the fund’s attractiveness (“In your
opinion, how attractive is the Middlewood Materials Fund as an investment?” 0 = Very poor to
100 = Very good) and were asked to explain their ratings in a few sentences (open-ended text
box). They were also asked for their evaluation of the fund’s historical performance (“In your
opinion, how well do you think the Middlewood Materials Fund performed over the past 10
years?” 0 = Very poor performance to 100 = Very good performance), their subjective
assessment of the fund’s riskiness (“In your opinion, how risky is the Middlewood Materials
Fund as an investment?” 0 = Not at all risky to 100 = Extremely risky) and information
confidence (“If you were making an investment decision today, how confident are you that you
have enough information to make decisions about the Middlewood Materials Fund?” 0 = Not at
all confident to 100 = Extremely confident).
To provide a behavioral measure of investment activity, participants were next asked to
make three allocation decisions, in which they could allocate a $15,000 investment between the
Middlewood Materials Fund or an account with a guaranteed return (with interest rates of 6%,
4%, and 2%). All participants were informed that subset of participants would be paid based on
how much money they had remaining after a 6-month period; for instance, if they ended up with
$12,000 remaining, they could receive a bonus payment of $120. These allocation decisions
21
were followed by four survey questions that could provide insight on why participants chose to
invest (or not), such as “I am not interested in investing in a materials fund.”
Consistent with experiments testing informational interventions on subjective
expectations (e.g., Armantier, Nelson, Topa, van der Klaauw and Zafar, 2016; Armona, Fuster,
and Zafar, 2016), participants were asked to assign probabilities of various Middlewood
Materials Fund price movements over the next 6 months. Specifically, they were asked to assign
a percent chance to each of 6 price bins for a $100 investment in the fund (ranging from being
worth “$90 or less” to being worth “$130 or more”).
After asking for beliefs about the fund’s performance, we asked a series of multiple
choice questions about participants’ interpretation of the graphs (e.g., “In terms of total returns
from December 2011 to November 2021, how did the Middlewood Materials Fund perform
relative to the materials sector?”), their preferences for benchmark information, and other beliefs
about the graphs that were shown (e.g., “This graph was designed to make the Middlewood
Materials Fund look good”). Many of the statements about the graphs were drawn from the
qualitative interviews conducted with participants prior to the study, as described above. We
chose to administer these statements to assess the frequency of lay beliefs about investment
performance graphs. Finally, the experiment concluded with background questions about
participants, including their mutual fund knowledge, risk preferences, and wealth. We collected
device type to control for the possibility that respondents using mobile devices could not see the
graphs.
4. Predictions and Decisions
Our two primary outcome measures may lead to two different interpretations by study
participants because they differ in terms of reference settings. To evaluate the attractiveness of
the Middlewood Materials Fund, participants could draw on outside knowledge or the stimulus
presented. In such circumstances, participants may ignore the graphical information presented
entirely, or they may evaluate the fund against the graphical information; for example, they could
compare the fund’s performance against the benchmarks shown. Standard economic theory does
not provide much guidance on how benchmarks should affect subjective evaluations: in a strict
rational-expectations formulation, well-informed rational agents would find benchmarks
ignorable because they would have imbibed sufficient outside knowledge prior to the experiment
to form a basis for an evaluation. Thus, there should be no difference across conditions in
subjective evaluations. Yet, weaker versions of a standard model could introduce a role for
benchmarks such as through search costs or Bayesian updating.
17
The participation outcome provides a slightly narrower scenario to evaluate. In making
an allocation decision, participants should evaluate the fund against the guaranteed rate of return
based on expectations of the fund’s future performance and their risk preferences. However, i n
17
Much research suggests that in this decision-making domain, many investors may lack knowledge consistent with the strictest models one
could consider (see, for example Scholl and Fontes, 2021).
22
the strictest rational model, the graphical stimuli should not play a role because the benchmarks
do not affect the choice that the participant is making. That is, the participant is presented only
with the choice of the risky gamble between the guaranteed rate of return and the uncertain
outcome of the fund. They do not have the opportunity to liquidate the investment amount to
pursue an outside option, and the timing of the payment will come six months after their
decisions regardless of their investment. For the graphical information to matter in a standard
economic model, participants would need to update their expectations of the fund’s performance
based on the graphical presentation, or change their risk sensitivity. For example, the graphical
presentation could change a participant’s expectations of the fund’s future volatility.
5. Empirical Results
We estimate the effects of information by regressing our outcomes of interest on
variables representing the information presented. The primary estimating equation for subjective
attractiveness ratings is:
(
1
)
(
퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴
)
푖푖
= 훽훽
0
+훽훽
1
(
푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 ℎ푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴 푚푚 푏푏퐴퐴푏푏푏푏푏푏 푓푓푓푓퐴퐴푓푓 푏푏퐴퐴푏푏 표표
)
푖푖
+훽훽
2
(
푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 ℎ푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴 푚푚 퐴퐴푏푏푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴 푓푓푓푓퐴퐴푓푓 푏푏퐴퐴푏푏 표표
)
푖푖
+훽훽
3
(
퐴퐴푏푏푏푏 푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 ℎ푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴 푚푚퐴퐴
)
푖푖
+ 훽훽
4
(
퐴퐴푏푏 푔푔퐴퐴퐴퐴 푔푔ℎ
)
푖푖
+훽훽
5
(
퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴
)
푖푖
+ 휀휀
푖푖
While estimation of the allocation to the fund when given an option to invest in a risk-free asset
with guaranteed return a is provided by:
(2)
(
퐴퐴푏푏푏푏푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 푏푏퐴퐴
)
푖푖,푎푎
= 훽훽
0
+훽훽
1
(
푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 ℎ푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴 푚푚 푏푏퐴퐴푏푏푏푏푏푏 푓푓푓푓퐴퐴푓푓 푏푏퐴퐴푏푏 표표
)
푖푖
+훽훽
2
(
푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 ℎ푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴 푚푚 퐴퐴푏푏푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴 푓푓푓푓퐴퐴푓푓 푏푏퐴퐴푏푏 표표
)
푖푖
+훽훽
3
(
퐴퐴푏푏푏푏 푏푏퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 ℎ푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴 푚푚퐴퐴
)
푖푖
+ 훽훽
4
(
퐴퐴푏푏 푔푔퐴퐴퐴퐴 푔푔ℎ
)
푖푖
+ 훽훽
5
(퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴)
푖푖
+�훿훿
푎푎
(
푔푔푓푓퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴푓푓 퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴푓푓퐴퐴퐴퐴= 푔푔푓푓퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴푓푓 퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴푓푓퐴퐴 퐴퐴
푎푎
)
푖푖,푎푎
푎푎
+ 휀휀
푖푖,푎푎
Equation (1) is estimated using robust standard errors, whereas in equation (2), responses are
clustered by respondent, as each participant provides responses at guaranteed returns of 2, 4, and
6 percent.
We first study effects on attractiveness evaluations in the online experiment. This
variable is useful because it shows whether the interventions had any impact on study
participants’ overall impressions of the fund. We then estimate any effects in an incentive-
compatible choice, which allows us to determine if the reported subjective evaluations seep into
behavioral differences across stimulus conditions.
23
Figures 5 and 6 display point estimates and confidence intervals of participants’
subjective attractiveness ratings and allocation decisions across conditions. These plots provide
considerable intuition corresponding to formal estimates presented in Appendix E. Our research
design varies two main features vis-à-vis the base (no benchmark) condition: the relative position
and number of benchmarks, and the selection and positioning of either the broad or narrow
benchmark. The relative position focuses our attention on participants’ reaction to benchmark
performance relative to the fund. Broad vs. narrow variation enables us to examine if
participants distinguish between broad and narrow benchmarks – for example, if participants
respond differently to a broad benchmark outperforming the fund rather than a narrow
benchmark outperforming the fund. The plots group the stimuli in terms of relative position of
the benchmarks in the respective stimulus (specifically, graphs with no benchmarks, a
benchmark above the fund, a benchmark below the fund, and the fund between two
benchmarks). Where there was variation by benchmark type, we provide estimates based on
solely the relative position (“pooled”), and separate out estimates for the broad and the narrow
benchmark. This portrayal highlights the fact that participants’ responses tend to be driven more
by relative position than whether or not the benchmark presented is broad or narrow.
Figure 5. Average attractiveness evaluation by condition.
Note. This figure provides point estimates and confidence intervals of participants’ attractiveness
ratings across conditions. The five thicker confidence intervals represent averages for the
following conditions: no graph, no benchmark, single benchmark above fund, single benchmark
below fund, and two benchmarks. In contrast, the eight thinner confidence intervals represent
mean values that distinguish between broad and narrow benchmarks, as well as narrative text
(“w/ nar.”).
24
Figure 6. Average allocation to the Middlewood Fund (vs. fixed return).
Note. This figure provides point estimates and confidence intervals of participants’ allocations to
the Middlewood Materials Fund across conditions. The five thicker confidence intervals
represent averages for the following conditions: no graph, no benchmark, single benchmark
above fund, single benchmark below fund, and two benchmarks. In contrast, the eight thinner
confidence intervals represent mean values that distinguish between broad and narrow
benchmarks, as well as narrative text (“w/ nar.”).
3.1 Effects on Subjective Evaluations: Fund Attractiveness
Figure 5 provides confidence intervals across conditions for the subjective attractiveness
outcome. The figure provides evidence that benchmark presentation affected participants’
subjective evaluations of the fund. When participants received a graph depicting a single
benchmark that outperformed the fund, they provided ratings of the fund that were
approximately 8.5 points lower than participants in the excluded condition (performance graph
with “No Benchmarks”). This difference is significant at the 99.9% level. The two benchmark
conditions affected subjective evaluations in a more muted way: participants’ evaluations were
4.8 points lower than the base condition, perhaps suggesting that participants were affected both
by the reference value that outperformed and the reference index that underperformed the fund.
The two-benchmark p-value is 0.013.
In contrast to the benchmark that outperforms the Middlewood Fund, a single benchmark
that performs worse than the fund did not affect participants’ subjective ratings vis-à-vis the base
condition (p = 0.878). Results suggest that participants’ evaluations were not affected by this
graphical presentation.
Participants in the no graph condition had substantially lower subjective appraisals of the
Middlewood fund. The average participant in this condition rated the fund 19.2 points lower
than in the base condition (p < 0.001).
25
3.2 Effects on Incentivized Behavior: Allocation to Middlewood
Figure 6 illustrates that allocations were highest overall in the no benchmarks condition
and that allocations varied somewhat with the relative position of the benchmark. The figure also
highlights that participation decisions were influenced by the graphical presentation of certain
conditions, suggesting that benchmark presentation is consequential for investment decisions.
In particular, participants assigned to the single benchmark above conditions
(“Benchmark Above Fund”) exhibited significantly different participation behavior than
participants viewing benchmarks in other positions. Participants allocated an average of $779
less to the fund in this condition than they did in the no benchmark condition (p < 0.001). In
other words, after controlling for the guaranteed return offered, participants viewing a single
benchmark line outperforming the fund were more likely to allocate money into the guaranteed
return rather than invest in the fund.
In contrast, behavior in response to the pooled single benchmark below fund conditions
(“Benchmark Below Fund”) was indistinguishable from the no benchmarks condition. While the
pooled point estimate directionally indicates slightly lower participation of about $87, we cannot
reject the null of no difference with the base condition. In other words, this difference is
statistically indistinguishable from the base condition and attributable to chance variation.
Results for the “ Fund between Two Benchmarks” conditions are also similar to the no
benchmark condition. Although the statistically insignificant point estimate indicates
directionally lower allocations than the base condition, there is a muted response relative to
conditions where participants view a single benchmark outperforming the fund.
Finally, the no graph condition leads to substantially lower allocation in the fund than any
of the graphical presentation conditions. Participants in this condition allocated $1,618 less to
the fund (p < 0.001).
3.3 Broad vs. Narrow Benchmarks
Figures 4 and 5 (and Appendix Table E) also break out the relative performance
conditions of the benchmark (the “pooled” results) in a way that allows us to make distinctions
between broad and narrow benchmarks. That is, these figures allow us to assess whether
participants react differently when viewing a broad benchmark versus a narrow benchmark, and
to what extent attractiveness ratings and allocations might be influenced differently by the
relative position of each. While the point estimates do differ slightly within each of the
positional conditions in the figures, these differences are not statistically significant, and there is
little evidence that participants responded differently to the hypothetical broad and narrow
Imprimiis benchmarks we constructed. Figures 4 and 5 emphasize that – at least in the
experimental set-up we have explored – the relative position of the benchmark versus the fund
appears to be much more consequential than whether the benchmark presented is narrow or
broad.
26
3.4 Subgroup Analysis
One potential mechanism for an effect of benchmarks on participants could be that high
sophistication participants might ignore the benchmarks because of outside knowledge of the
marketplace; if high sophistication participants roughly know the historical returns of stocks or a
given sector, they might essentially impose their own reference value – leading to no effect of
benchmarks in different positions. By contrast, less sophisticated investors might use the
benchmarks to provide context that would enable them to make an assessment of the
attractiveness and desirability of the fund given their lower level of familiarity with the
investment space.
Alternatively, it could be the case that sophisticated investors use benchmarks as an
indicator of relative performance because they understand that benchmarks provide context. In
contrast, less sophisticated investors might find benchmarks confusing and choose to ignore
them. In this case, we would expect a greater response to benchmarks among sophisticated (vs.
unsophisticated) investors.
3.4.1 Investor Subgroup Variable Creation
To explore whether effects on attractiveness evaluations and allocations vary by
participant characteristics, we next classify each participant into one of the following three
categories: non-investors, retirement-only investors, or independent investors. We constructed
these subgroups with the expectation that independent investors would have the highest levels of
investment sophistication and experience with regard to funds among a retail (as opposed to
institutional) investor population. Additionally, we expected that non-investors would have
lower levels of investment knowledge and experience than retirement-only investors. This
classification, and these expectations, are based on prior research that distinguishes investors’
sophistication (e.g., Chin, Scholl, and VanEpps, 2021; Scholl and Fontes, 2021).
To determine a participant’s sophistication level, we used four pre-experiment screening
questions from Chin, Scholl, and VanEpps (2021). Participants who had an employer-sponsored
retirement plan but no ability to choose among investments in the plan (as in the case of most
pensions), as well as participants who reported no investments, were classified as non-investors.
Anyone who chooses investments in their employer-sponsored retirement plan or has retirement
accounts outside of an employer-sponsored plan (e.g., an individual retirement account), but no
other stock, bond, mutual fund or ETF investments outside of a retirement account, was
classified as a “retirement-only” investor. Finally, anyone who reported having investments in
stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or other securities outside of a retirement account (e.g. in a
brokerage account, or in actual stock certificates) was considered an “independent” investor.
This last group likely includes respondents with a retirement account as well. Ultimately, these
classifications are imperfect proxies of investment experience, but we believe this classification
helps to contextualize participants’ level of investment experience and fund knowledge.
27
To provide additional context on the three subgroups, Table 3 shows the breakdown of
four variables we might expect to correlate with investor sophistication: (1) the deviation
between beliefs about historical stock market performance (measured by the S&P 500 index) and
actual performance; (2) beliefs about how various sectors performed relative to the overall US
stock market (better/worse/about the same/I don’t know) – this variable is the count of the
number of sectors with relative performances that the respondent answered correctly out of 3
sectors; (3) mutual fund literacy, as assessed by a validated scale developed in prior research
(Scholl and Fontes, 2022); and (4) responses to Ipsos’ profile questions about whether the
respondent owns mutual funds or ETFs. As shown in the table, all four of these variables
provide a consistent pattern between subgroups. Non-investors are the least sophisticated, as
they have the most inaccurate beliefs, lowest mutual fund literacy, and lowest levels of fund
ownership. Note that about 5% of our “Non-Investors” report owning mutual funds or ETFs –
the difference here largely reflects data previously collected by Ipsos and questions we asked
directly in our survey. “Independent” investors have the highest levels of sophistication, and
retirement-only investors fall in between. We now proceed to examine responses to the
experiment by these subgroups.
Table 3. Measures of investor sophistication by subgroup.
Full
Sample
Independent
Investor
Retirement
Only
Investor
Non-
Investor
Difference between true stock market
return and return belief (ppt.)
11.3
(15.3)
8.3
(13.5)
10.3
(13.2)
16.5
(17.7)
Sector performance score (0-3) 1.21
(0.89)
1.41
(0.84)
1.19
(0.89)
0.94
(0.89)
Mutual fund literacy score (0-11) 4.32
(3.06)
5.68
(2.85)
4.10
(2.82)
2.56
(2.53)
Whether respondent owns mutual
fund(s) or ETF(s)
0.417
(0.493)
0.698
(0.459)
0.363
(0.481)
0.0573
(0.232)
Note. Means and (standard deviations) shown.
3.4.2 Attractiveness Evaluations by Investor Subgroup
Figure 7 and Table 4 provide subgroup estimates based on investor status. They paint a
surprisingly different story than the proposition that more sophisticated individuals are less
responsive to benchmarks. Instead, there is evidence that the most sophisticated are the most
responsive. Non-investors (Column 3 of Table 4, and Figure 6) demonstrate no differential
reaction in Attractiveness score to any of the positional conditions – in the graphical
presentation, this group clearly does not assign differential ratings based on their condition.
Retirement-only investors (Column 2), exhibit a small, marginally significant decrease in
28
Attractiveness score of about 5.9 points to having a benchmark above the fund. Yet, independent
investors (Column 1) respond differentially based on performance presentation. Independent
investors’ ratings of fund attractiveness decrease by 14.7 and 7.7 points in the “Benchmark
above fund” conditions and the two benchmarks conditions, respectively. As per Figure 6, there
is little evidence that participants varied systematically in their evaluations for broad and narrow
benchmarks although retirement-only investors differentiated within the two benchmark
condition based on whether the narrow benchmark was above or below the fund.
Figure 7. Attractiveness evaluations by investor subgroups.
Note. Figure presents group means for each investor subgroup and corresponding 95%
confidence intervals.
Table 4. Fund attractiveness by investor subgroup.
Baseline
Independent
Investors
Retirement-
Only Investors
Non-Investors
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No graph, no benchmarks -19.167*** -21.770*** -16.911*** -16.934***
(1.667) (2.350) (3.415) (3.155)
Single benchmark above
fund
-8.574*** -14.70*** -5.892* -1.741
(1.474) (2.030) (3.122) (2.798)
Single benchmark below
fund
0.220 -0.311 3.904 -2.293
(1.426) (1.903) (2.952) (2.809)
Two benchmarks -4.781** -7.674*** -1.014 -3.823
(1.921) (2.584) (3.941) (3.869)
Any narrative 0.045 0.0976 -0.167 0.952
(1.838) (2.547) (3.795) (3.613)
Constant 65.036*** 69.195*** 63.985*** 59.857***
(1.165) (1.547) (2.487) (2.262)
Observations 4,226 1,906 998 1,322
R
2
0.047 0.077 0.052 0.029
29
Adjusted R
2
0.046 0.075 0.047 0.026
Note. Robust standard errors in parenthesis. *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
3.4.3 Allocation Decisions by Investor Subgroup
In terms of allocation behavior, Figure 8 and Table 5 suggest a similar pattern to those on
evaluations, with some subtle differences. Table 5 Column (4) suggests that the only effect of
presentation differences for non-investors came from the comparison between the reference case
(a graph with fund performance and no benchmarks), and the No Graph condition. All other
presentations did not differ significantly from the no benchmark condition.
In contrast, the purportedly more sophisticated participants, retirement-only and
independent investors, allocate substantially less to the Middlewood Fund in the single
benchmark above condition. For retirement-only investors, this difference amounts to $1,063 on
average across the three guaranteed returns, while for the independent investors it amounts to
$725 less. Curiously, some of the directional values of the non-statistically significant
coefficients are somewhat at odds with results reported above; for example, retirement-only
investors and non-investors allocated less on average in the single benchmark below condition.
As with evaluations, there is little evidence in Figure 8 that participants differentially responded
to broad or narrow conditions – rather, the primary driver appears to have been the relative
position of the benchmark line.
Overall, the implication is that more sophisticated participants have higher
responsiveness to differential benchmark presentations than their less sophisticated peers who
may not have sufficient context or understanding to make use of the benchmarks.
Figure 8. Allocation decisions by subgroup.
Note. Figure presents group means for each investor subgroup and corresponding 95%
confidence intervals
.
30
Table 5. Allocation decisions by investor subgroup.
Baseline
Independent
Investors
Retirement-Only
Investors
Non-Investors
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No graph, no
benchmarks
-1,618.666
***
-1,753.034
***
-1,523.308
***
-1,481.129
***
(275.457) (385.088) (542.812) (543.131)
Single benchmark
above fund
-779.103
***
-725.064
**
-1,063.698
**
-646.958
(230.886) (316.964) (457.308) (466.586)
Single benchmark
below fund
-87.487 108.297 -555.092 -16.575
(226.954) (313.473) (438.587) (461.706)
Two benchmarks -375.079 -371.769 -208.001 -552.441
(322.007) (445.992) (609.480) (666.342)
Any narrative 414.313 573.179 -149.772 661.922
(313.927) (436.409) (615.946) (633.289)
Guaranteed Return of
4%
-1,341.813
***
-1,686.459
***
-1,303.103
***
-871.129
***
(44.847) (66.958) (89.822) (79.773)
Guaranteed Return of
6%
-2,512.655
***
-3,273.571
***
-2,468.919
***
-1,438.529
***
(63.700) (97.854) (125.968) (105.040)
Constant 10,992.060
***
11,588.230
***
10,981.330
***
10,129.840
***
(186.073) (255.915) (357.443) (379.951)
Observations 12,434 5,629 2,944 3,861
R
2
0.054 0.093 0.052 0.022
Adjusted R
2
0.053 0.090 0.046 0.017
Note. Robust standard errors clustered by participant in parenthesis. *p<0.1; **p<0.05;
***p<0.01
3.5 Deviations from expected utility maximizing allocations
We now explore by how much allocations differ from the allocations that would
maximize expected utility given the participants’ beliefs about the Middlewood fund’s future
returns. We assume that participants have utility functions that exhibit constant relative risk
aversion (CRRA) and infer their coefficient of risk aversion from a survey question.
18
We then
find each participant’s expected utility maximizing allocation by numerically integrating
expected utility given their coefficient of risk aversion and the fitted distribution for their beliefs
(as described above) for each possible allocation from zero to $15,000 in one dollar increments.
The utility maximizing allocation is the value that maximizes this grid search. Since the survey
question provides us with a range for the coefficient of relative risk aversion, we calculate a
range of utility maximizing allocations. We record the deviation from the utility maximizing
18
In the survey, we elicit CRRA by asking participants to choose between one of eight lotteries, varying from the least risky, which pays $1.60
for sure, to most risky, which offers a 50% chance at $4.40. The inferred coefficients of relative risk aversion, denoted as r, for these lotteries are:
for lottery 1, 3.9437 < r; for lottery 2, 1.3199 < r < 3.9437; for lottery 3, 0.8052 < r < 1.3199; for lottery 4, 0.5748 < r < 0.8052; for lottery 5,
0.4375 < r < 0.5748; for lottery 6, 0.3404 < r < 0.4375; for lottery 7, 0 < r < 0.3404; for lottery 8, r < 0.
31
allocation as zero if the allocation falls in the range and as the minimum distance to the range if
it falls outside of it.
With this approach, the distance from the utility maximizing allocation is thus driven by
the participant’s allocation to the fund and the participant’s beliefs about the fund’s future
returns. To understand changes in beliefs, we first present Figure 8, which displays the mean of
the fitted distributions for beliefs by investor type.
19
Overall, Figure 8 demonstrates that non-
investors have less responsive beliefs and exhibit more variation in their responses. However, the
more surprising overall pattern is that expectations – meaning participants’ projections of actual
future performance of the fund – are largely unaffected by condition. Statistical tests only find a
significant difference between the single above and single below conditions (diff=-2.19, p-
value=0.01). We thus find limited evidence that expectations update, but strong evidence that
allocation varies by condition.
20
Figure 8. Expected return beliefs by investor type subgroups.
Note. Figure presents group means for each investor subgroup and corresponding 95%
confidence intervals
.
Moving on to modeled utility maximizing allocations, the first column of Table 6
presents results from regressing the deviations from the utility maximizing allocation on the
19
Specifically, the survey captured beliefs about the Middlewood Materials Fund’s return over the next six months by asking participants to
assign probabilities across six bins corresponding to different ranges of returns. Using these assigned probabilities over bins, we fit probability
distributions to model their beliefs following Engelberg, Manksi, and William (2009). Engelberg, Manksi, and William fit the parameters of a
unimodal distribution, either generalized beta or isosceles triangle depending on the number of bins that were covered, to match the probabilities
that were reported in bins. A small percentage of participants (two percent) reported beliefs that cover non-adjacent bins, for example a .5
probability that returns are between 10 and 20% and a .5 probability that they are 30% or more. Engelberg, Manksi, and William do not discuss
the probability distribution for this situation of non-adjacent bins, as no participants in their sample report beliefs like this. We use a piece-wise
uniform distribution, which evenly distributes the probability over the interval to which it was assigned.
20
One possibility is that our expectations elicitation bin sizes are too wide to pick up expectations movements.
32
benchmark presentation (single above, single below, two benchmarks, and no graph). The
smallest deviation from utility maximization is found when the performance graph is presented
with no benchmarks. The greatest deviation is for the condition that did not see a graph ($1,068
less than the condition that saw a graph without benchmarks), which had the lowest allocations
but beliefs that were similar to the condition without benchmarks. The deviations for
presentations with a benchmark under- and over-performing the fund are similar ($759 and $831
less than the condition without benchmarks, respectively).
When separating the participants by investor status in columns (2) through (4) of Table 6,
we see that non-investors exhibited a general reluctance to invest, allocating too little to the fund
given their beliefs, but this under-investment does not vary much by condition. This is
unsurprising given that this group allocated far less to the Middlewood Materials Fund in every
condition. Independent investors had allocations that more closely matched their utility
maximizing allocations. Even though beliefs for independent investors varied more by condition,
their allocations to the fund are largely consistent with these beliefs (with the exception of
allocations in the condition that did not see a performance graph).
Table 6. Regression Results for Distance from Optimal Allocations.
Baseline Independent
Investors
Retirement-Only
Investors
Non-Investors
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No graph, no
benchmarks
-1,067.980** -1,224.721** -668.059 -1,022.091
(418.894) (593.795) (869.752) (793.313)
Single
benchmark
above fund
-831.184** -717.906 -508.820 -1,329.345**
(346.666) (471.920) (759.599) (661.779)
Single
benchmark
below fund
-759.209** -795.477* -265.554 -1,131.076*
(345.584) (472.269) (752.373) (660.529)
Two
benchmarks
-257.692 -344.906 405.507 -757.452
(484.292) (675.251) (1,040.035) (912.423)
Any narrative -381.058 14.505 -952.807 -363.975
(468.577) (670.241) (983.290) (862.567)
Constant -61.357 574.511 -669.159 -597.996
(279.064) (379.069) (618.915) (529.677)
Observations 11,490 5,376 2,783 3,331
R
2
0.002 0.003 0.002 0.004
Adjusted R
2
0.002 0.001 0.000 0.002
Note. Standard errors clustered by participant in parenthesis.
*
p<0.1;
**
p<0.05;
***
p<0.01
33
3.6 Search Effort
As discussed in the introduction, researchers examining mutual fund choice often discuss
the search costs associated with finding a fund. After viewing the benchmark presentation and
providing subjective ratings (prior to allocation and expectations elicitation tasks), respondents
were asked about potential search behavior. The elicitation question was: “Let’s say you had 60
minutes to spare. How much of it would you spend researching the Middlewood Materials Fund,
searching for other funds, or doing something else (like watching TV)?” Respondents allocated
60 minutes to search for more information about the Middlewood fund, search for other funds, or
doing something else – to reduce error, “doing something else” was automatically computed as
the residual of the other two values.
One pathway through which benchmarks could affect evaluations and allocation
decisions is through search costs. With an appropriately chosen benchmark that approximates
true performance in the sector (e.g. a sector average or factor model) it is conceivable that
investors could reference the benchmark as a means of evaluating past performance of the fund.
Under this framework, both low and high sophistication investors could use a benchmark as a
shorthand to avoid costly search activities. They would also not have to construct their own
reference or comparison points.
Table 7 presents results of self-declared search effort. The only condition that differs
from the baseline no benchmark condition is the single benchmark above condition. In this
condition, participants reduced search on the Middlewood Materials Fund by about 2.6 minutes,
and increased search for other options by about 1.7 minutes. All other conditions yielded no
differences in the level of search, relative to the condition where the fund performance, but no
benchmarks were shown.
Table 7. Regression Results for Self-Reported Search Effort by Experimental Condition.
Middlewood Info Other Options
(1) (2)
No graph, no benchmarks -0.828 -0.434
(1.048) (0.811)
Single benchmark above fund -2.582
***
1.666
**
(0.842) (0.688)
Single benchmark below fund -1.459
*
0.713
(0.847) (0.672)
Two benchmarks -0.939 1.196
(1.147) (0.925)
Any narrative -0.406 0.119
(1.088) (0.905)
Constant 21.389
***
14.260
***
(0.701) (0.545)
Observations 4,196 4,196
34
R
2
0.003 0.003
Adjusted R
2
0.002 0.002
Note. Robust standard errors shown in parentheses.
*
p<0.1;
**
p<0.05;
***
p<0.01
On one hand, the changes in search for the “benchmark above” condition are somewhat
consistent with a search cost role for benchmarks in that there is some difference in search
behavior. Yet, this pattern is not fully consistent with that view. A single benchmark
outperforming the fund appears to signal to participants that they could find better investment
performance elsewhere. However, the need for increased search effort dissipates in the two
benchmark case, even though the graph continues to display investment options with superior
historical performance. In this condition, the lack of change in search behavior suggests that
having intermediate performance may be “good enough” for participants. Possibly, the presence
of a benchmark below (either in the single benchmark case or in the two benchmark sandwich
case we pursue) is sufficient to forestall motivation to search.
The issue of the intention to search seems especially important in the context of funds’
discretion over benchmarks. A carefully selected benchmark might encourage investors to stop
looking further.
21
Moreover, many investors may be effectively defaulted into a shortlist of funds
based on retirement plan menus and other menus. With such a shortlist, a fund outperforming its
benchmark may be sufficient information for the investor to select it, not knowing, or not fully
factoring in, that the benchmark itself may have been selected for that particular effect. We
further explore benchmark choice in Section 7 below.
6. Survey Responses by Investor Subgroup
Our survey instrument collected additional information intended to produce nationally
representative survey responses. Figure 9 provides survey responses to a question about
participant preferences for a graph with one or two benchmarks. This data was collected by
asking questions that allowed us to credibly determine preferences (beginning with a single
preference question; additional follow-ups allowed participants to express a desire for additional
information). Regardless of investor status, participants overwhelmingly expressed a preference
for a graph with both narrow and broad benchmarks. This result can add context to the evidence
arising from the experimental analysis described above.
21
Scholl, Silverman and Enriquez (2021) develop such a model.
35
Figure 9. Preferences for benchmarks.
Note. Bars denote +/- 1 standard error.
As mentioned in the Introduction (Section 1), there are different ways in which
benchmarks may, or may not, affect investor decision-making. Given differences in behavior
between investors of different levels of sophistication, in Figure 10 we also present agreement
with different survey items answered by our participants. Specifically, the figure shows average
agreement to each of nine statements for participants in each of the investor subgroups.
22
Conceptually, these statements are grouped into four categories, as reflected in the subpanels of
the figure.
First, we assessed mistaken beliefs about benchmarks, as derived from our qualitative
pilot. We asked whether the Middlewood Materials Fund would always have performance
between the two benchmarks, whether the indexes were competitors to the Middlewood
Materials Fund, whether the lower benchmark in the graph is included in the Middlewood
Materials Fund, and whether the hypothetical materials index provides the average of
investments in that sector (top panel of Figure 10). As shown, participants did not strongly agree
with these statements, as the midpoint of the response scale was 3. Where there are differences
between groups, however, non-investors tended to agree more with the statements that
participants with higher investment sophistication.
22
We expected and found no differences in beliefs by experimental treatment.
36
The second panel describes beliefs about the graphs shown in the study. Perhaps
surprisingly, relatively sophisticated “independent” investors were the most likely to agree that
the graph was a reliable source of information, and least likely to agree that it was designed to
make the fund “look good.” It is possible that these participants are more familiar with
performance graphs and more willing to trust the information provided.
The third panel shows beliefs about how useful it is to compare the Middlewood
Materials Fund to the hypothetical Imprimiis Indexes. As with the immediately preceding panel,
there are differences by investor group; investors that are more sophisticated find the indexes
more useful.
Finally, the last panel asks participants to state how important it is that the benchmarks
represent average performance. Overall, participants agree with this statement as responses for
all groups are above the midpoint of the scale. Additionally, more sophisticated investors tend to
agree more.
Looking across the survey results, we conclude that the patterns of responses are largely
consistent with the results of our behavioral experiment. In particular, non-investors, who are
more confused by benchmarks (panel 1), trust the graphs less (panel 2), and find the benchmark
comparisons less useful (panel 3), also respond less to benchmarks in the experiment than more
sophisticated respondents (Section 5).
37
Figure 10. Survey items by investor subgroup.
Note. This figure shows averages by investor group. Bars denote +/- 1 standard error.
38
7. Analysis of Benchmark Performance Data
Thus far, we have described the frequency of benchmarks in mutual funds, and
demonstrated experimentally that fund performance relative to a benchmark can affect
evaluations and investment decisions. To complement these findings, we now return to a
description of benchmarks that currently exist in the mutual fund industry. We ask: Does
benchmark “fit” appear to vary with funds’ choices of benchmarks?
Following a similar methodology to that used in Sensoy (2009) to identify benchmarks
that match the fund’s exposure to market-level fluctuations that are beyond the fund’s control
(i.e., market factors), for each fund we run regressions of funds returns on the returns of their
benchmark. We use the average R-squared across the models as metric for benchmark fit .
23
The
overall idea is that the benchmark with the most similar exposure to market factors as the fund
will have returns that are the most highly correlated with the fund’s.
Average R-squared values are displayed below in row 6 of Table 8 for primary and
secondary benchmarks. In every sector, we find these values look similar between the primary
and secondary benchmarks, with the average R-squared for primary benchmarks across all
sectors similar to the average for secondary benchmarks (and in some sectors, the average R-
squared is greater for primary benchmarks than secondary). This is surprising given that the
justification for including secondary benchmarks is often to provide a more apples-to-apples
comparison to the fund. On average, the primary benchmarks have exposure to factors that is
more similar to the fund than the secondary benchmarks.
To further explore benchmark fit, we use Fama-French three-factor models. The
traditional model seeks to capture performance based on three factors: the overall return on the
market relative to the risk-free rate, the size of firms (SMB or “small minus big”) and book-to-
market values (HML or “high minus low”). Here, again following methodology in Sensory
(2009), we examine the differences in performance between a fund and its benchmarks by
implementing the following models separately for primary and secondary benchmarks for each
fund:
R
i,t
– R
Bench,i,t
= α
i
+β
i
(R
M,t
– R
f,t
) + s
i
SMB
t
+ h
i
HML
t
+ e
i,t
Where R
i,t
is fund i’s return in month t and R
Bench,i,t
is the return of fund i’s benchmark in month
t. Our factor loadings quantify the extent to which performance differences between funds and
their benchmarks can be explained by differences in exposure to these three factors. Similar to
the logic used above, if a benchmark is a poor comparison, we would expect that deviations in
the factors would be more prevalent. As such, we calculate the frequency of statistically
significant deviations in factor loadings across all primary and secondary benchmarks, and
23
R-squared values range from 0 to 1, with 0 representing a case in which none of the variance in the dependent variable (in this case, the fund
performance) is explained by the variance in the independent variable (in this case, benchmark performance).
39
compare the rates for the two types. Funds with complete returns data for the fund and the funds
respective benchmarks from beginning of 2017 to the end of 2019 are included.
In Table 8 rows 7 - 10 we show the percentage of funds which have statistically
significant (α = 0.05) differences in either direction in loadings between the fund and their
benchmark for each of the three factors, split by sector and by primary and secondary
benchmark. These results suggest that deviations between funds and their benchmarks in terms
of Fama-French factors are common. With only a few exceptions, more than 50% of funds have
differences in loadings across all three factors, when compared to both their primary and
secondary benchmarks. Often this proportion is three quarters of funds or more. Additionally, in
nearly every sector we find that the proportion of funds with significant differences in loadings
with their secondary benchmarks is as high as or higher than the proportion for primary
benchmark, when considering all three factors together.
In sum, little can be found in either of the two preceding lines of analysis to support a
characterization of secondary benchmarks as being more informative about the fund’s risk-
adjusted returns (by better matching the fund’s exposure to market factors) on average than
primary benchmarks.
40
Table 8. Benchmark summaries by sector.
Note: All statistics using returns are calculated with 3 years of data from 2017 through 2019.
41
8. General Discussion
8.1 Summary of Findings
This study examined the use of benchmarks by mutual funds using a large and
comprehensive dataset of funds in 12 sectors, and the reaction of individuals to various
benchmark presentations in a large-scale experiment. Our results suggest wide variation in the
way that funds use benchmarks and also that many individuals react quite strongly to different
benchmark presentations. In our preliminary review of markets data, we document that:
• There are a relatively large number of benchmarks in use in each fund category, with
some fund categories employing nearly two dozen primary benchmarks and over three
dozen secondary benchmarks.
• Many funds (about 2/3 to 4/5 of funds in each sector we considered) did not choose to
present a second benchmark.
• There is substantial variation in the performance of benchmarks that are employed within
a sector. In particular, 10-year cumulative returns show performance return differentials
among the benchmarks used within some sectors of over 400%. This variation makes it
difficult to understand how reliable these benchmarks are as a reference point for fund
performance.
• Some funds use extremely rare benchmarks ( 4.5%). Within the 12 sectors we reviewed,
each sector tended to have between 2 and 13 benchmarks used by only one fund.
• We observed many different types of benchmark choices. For example, we found some
examples of equity funds that use an equity index and a bond index as benchmarks. These
observations highlight some of the variability in funds’ benchmark choices.
• The definitions of broad and narrow benchmarks appear to be the subject of some
interpretation. Although we do not assess the appropriateness of benchmark selection,
we provide data that contextualizes benchmark appropriateness. The most common
benchmark used is the S&P 500 Total Return Index, which about a quarter of funds
select. In our data, only about half of funds present at least one benchmark that has a
correlation with the S&P 500 Index of 0.95 or above.
Our qualitative research provided some interesting insights that set the stage for our
quantitative experimental study, although these results are based on a small sample and not
conclusive on their own. Our qualitative study provided preliminary evidence that:
• Investors may react to variations in the visual presentation of the relative position of
funds and their benchmarks. This initial observation is difficult to contextualize in most
economic models.
• Investors have different reference points for contextualizing fund fees.
42
Our experimental results built on these initial qualitative and market data observations
and yielded extremely interesting conclusions. We developed a sophisticated, yet elegant
research design that focused on a two-benchmark “sandwich case” in which one benchmark
outperforms the fund and one benchmark is outperformed by the fund – one condition in which
the broad benchmark outperformed the narrow and one where the narrow outperformed the
broad benchmark. We created other conditions based on those two-benchmark conditions by
removing one or both benchmark reference lines; a no-graph condition enabled us to understand
the effect of benchmark presentation on expectations of future fund performance. Our primary
outcomes of interest were subjective ratings of fund attractiveness and an incentivized
investment participation outcome. Our design allowed us to study the role of the relative
position of benchmarks, the number of benchmarks (zero, one or two), the benefits of an
explanatory text defining the benchmarks that are used, and the relative impact of broad versus
narrow benchmarks. We also were able to use our design to study the differential impact at
different sophistication levels, the expectations formation process, and the effect of benchmark
presentations on optimal allocation decisions.
Overall, there is substantial variation in the between-subjects responses for both
outcomes of interest, both between and across conditions. Specifically, we observed:
• Fund attractiveness and incentivized allocation amounts were lower in the condition
presenting a single benchmark above the fund. In the two benchmarks condition (one
benchmark outperforming and one benchmark underperforming the fund) this effect was
present, but more muted: a smaller decrease versus the baseline condition (graph, no
benchmark), and a reduction in the statistical significance level of difference with the
baseline condition (the incentivized allocation was not statistically different). The
benchmark below the fund did not result in statistically different allocations or
attractiveness vis-à-vis our baseline condition.
• Although many respondents gave survey responses that suggested they were inclined to
regard the benchmarks as marketing devices selected in order to show the fund in a
valuable light, rather than as a decision-viable reference tool, we do not find evidence
that participants entirely disregarded benchmarks. At the same time, participants reacted
in their attractiveness ratings most strongly (negatively) to a benchmark presentation
where at least one benchmark outperformed the fund, and individuals indicated a higher
interest in searching for alternatives to the Middlewood Materials Fund when a single
benchmark outperformed the fund.
• We observe that sophistication matters for participants’ reactions to benchmarks, but it
matters in a way that is quite different than most economic models would assume and
much of regulatory theory seems to be grounded on. Our results suggest that the most
sophisticated participants were more reactive to benchmark presentations than lower
sophistication participants.
43
• We do not find evidence supporting the notion that participants believed that the narrow
benchmark is a better reference point than the broad benchmark. In fact, participants in
our study did not react differently to the broad and narrow benchmarks.
• We did not find evidence that the textual clarifications of benchmarks improved investor
comprehension or altered fund attractiveness ratings or participation decisions. They also
did not alter the (non-)distinction that study participants made between broad and narrow
benchmarks.
• The no graph condition had substantially lower ratings of attractiveness and lower
investment rates in our allocation task. This is not surprising in our experimental context
because we provided very little information to participants. This condition was not so
much added as a control condition, but rather as a way to better understand if and how
benchmark presentations affected expectations formation.
• In our setup, expectations would seem to provide a key role in many economic
frameworks in how benchmark presentation affects incentivized decisions and, to a lesser
extent, attractiveness ratings. Expectations of future fund performance varied slightly by
experimental condition, in contrast with most standard economic models. The effect is
muted when comparing to our baseline condition (graph with no benchmarks), but the
single benchmark above the fund and single benchmark below the fund conditions do
result in statistically significantly different expectations of future fund performance.
• We used a simple economic model to assess the extent to which a particular condition
resulted in a deviation from the expected utility-maximizing allocation in our
incentivized allocation task. We observed that, overall, two conditions resulted in a
distortion from the optimal allocation. These were the single benchmark above
(outperforming) the fund, and the single benchmark below (underperforming) the fund.
These conditions led to a respective increase (benchmark below) or decrease (benchmark
above) in expected future returns for the fund, which mechanically altered the optimal
allocation in each of these conditions, but overall led to a distortion in which a lower than
optimal amount was allocated in both cases by a statistically significant amount close to
$800. Because of the increase (decrease) in expected returns in the single benchmark
below (above) condition, our simple model increased (decreased) the required investment
amount for utility maximization; in the end, we observed that both conditions distorted
allocation from the utility maximization allocation in a similar amount. Of course, the
fact that these conditions changed expectations might itself be a source of welfare loss.
Our examination of these results by subgroup suggests that much of this is driven by non-
investors, but also that independent investors’ optimal allocations are also at least
marginally affected by some of the single benchmark conditions.
In Section 7 we returned to the markets data to provide additional context to the
experiment and the earlier market results. Our work provided new insights into the relationship
of funds and their benchmarks and context to the argument that the narrow, or secondary,
benchmark is a better benchmark than the broad-based market benchmark that funds are required
to use. We observed that:
44
• There is very little support in our analysis for the claim that secondary benchmarks
currently used by funds provide a more relevant comparison for investors than primary
benchmarks that funds use (recall that, in our analyses, we analyzed funds with two
benchmarks and classified benchmarks as “secondary” when they had a lower correlation
to the S&P 500 Index). We examined the markets data in two ways, with the goal of
understanding the “fit” between fund performance and benchmark performance. In
particular, our first analysis compared the average R
2
from a simple regression of fund
performance on the primary benchmark and a separate regression on the secondary
benchmark. The average values differ slightly in some sectors, but overall we do not find
that the secondary benchmark is a better fit than the primary benchmark in the sense that
more variance in fund performance was explained. In fact, in most cases the secondary
fits the fund’s performance about as well as the primary benchmark, and actually tends to
fit worse than the primary in the majority of sectors we examined. Our second analysis
fit a Fama-French factor model to determine whether there was significantly different fit
in factor loadings. These estimates exhibited some differences between the primary and
the secondary benchmarks, but did not lead to a consistent observation that the secondary
benchmarks are a better fit to fund performance than the primary benchmarks.
• The sandwich case positioning of benchmarks and funds in our experimental conditions
may appear a special situation, but in reality, the experimental conditions we created
represent a large fraction of presentation conditions experienced in the wild. In each of
the 12 sectors we studied, our presentation cases represented as few as 60 percent of
funds in the sector and as many of 76 percent of funds in the sector.
8.2 Limitations
Our work, as any research, is not without limitations. Perhaps the biggest limitation is
that, for our particular experiment, we had to choose stimuli that were able to be digested by
participants rapidly and that would reflect theoretically interesting variation. Future work may
extend our results by studying a broader range of benchmarks and performance histories for
different hypothetical funds, as well as alternatives to the 10-year cumulative performance line
graph that we examined.
8.3 Conclusion
Considerable research suggests that investors prioritize information on investment
performance and use it to make decisions that may affect their ability to meet their financial
goals and achieve financial well-being. As such, understanding reactions to performance
information, and comparative benchmark information that is required to accompany performance
disclosures, is critical. Using a novel, large-scale experiment with a national sample, as well as
in-depth analysis of real-world benchmark use, we have presented a comprehensive set of
findings on how funds use benchmarks and how investors may react to them.
45
More broadly, past work has argued that mandatory disclosures should be tested with
consumers to ensure that communication objectives (e.g., awareness, comprehension) are
achieved (Kozup et al., 2012). As such, we contribute to debates that raise questions about
consumers’ knowledge of financial products and what consumers can learn from disclosures
(e.g., CFPB, 2020; Chin and Bruine de Bruin, 2019; Chin, Scholl, and VanEpps, 2021; Hogarth
and Merry, 2011; Kleimann, 2013; Lacko and Pappalardo, 2010; Scholl, Craig, and Chin, 2022).
We hope these findings are used to better understand investor decision-making processes,
support investor protection efforts, and welfare.
46
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Appendices
Appendix A. Additional Figures on Performance Variation
This section contains additional spaghetti plots showing variation in benchmark performance
over a 10-year period. These figures are analogous to Figure 3 in the manuscript.
52
53
54
55
56
57
Appendix B. Additional Information on Qualitative Pilot
This appendix contains additional detail on the 16 qualitative interviews that we
conducted as part of the pilot testing for the testing described in this report. The primary purpose
of the interviews was to gather preliminary information and generate ideas that would inform
subsequent quantitative testing. We asked interview participants to comment on a mock-up of a
fund’s annual shareholders report, point out areas of interest and confusion, and react to
information we presented.
As described in the manuscript, we showed participants four performance graphs. The
figure immediately below (Figure A1) shows the first performance graph used in the qualitative
interviews, whereas the second figure (Figure A2) shows the fourth and final performance graph
used in the qualitative interviews, including the accompanying narrative text explaining the
meaning of the benchmark lines.
Figure B.1. Initial performance graph shown in qualitative interviews.
58
Figure B.2. Final performance graph shown in qualitative interviews.
As noted above, the interviews were designed for idea generation; with a small sample of
16 respondents, any conclusions are necessarily tentative and preliminary, and would benefit
from follow-up testing with a larger sample (a methodology recommended in, for example,
Morgan et al. 2001). In particular, based on our analysis of the interviews, the research team
recommends additional research devoted to the following potential issues:
1. Subjective evaluations of funds’ cost: Participants’ impressions of the relative cost of a
fund varied. Some participants had ways of judging expenses that make them vulnerable
to overpaying. For instance, some participants reported rules of thumb that referenced
past jobs in sales, or discrete fee cutoffs.
2. Mutual fund share classes: Multiple participants stated they had “no idea” or “did not
know” what share classes meant (among others, Male, age 44 and Female, age 66). To
the extent that share classes are a necessary component of other disclosures, future
research should explore ways of explaining share classes to investors.
59
3. Clarifying the role of the shareholder report: Some participants expressed a lack of
understanding of what to do with some of the information and how to use it most
effectively for decision-making.
60
Appendix C. Additional Detail on Experimental Stimuli
The stimuli for the experiment were generated from actual indexes. We identified broad-
based and industrial indexes with similar average annual returns. One pair of broad-based and
industrial indexes had an average monthly return of around 1.3% and another pair had an average
monthly return of just under 1%. We averaged the pair with the higher monthly return to create
our high benchmark and average the lower pair to create the low benchmark. We chose to
average these indexes so that the resulting indexes could plausibly serve as both a narrow index
for the industrial sector and a broad-based index. We created the Middlewood Materials Fund by
averaging the high and low benchmarks, to ensure that it would be in between them.
Full set of graphs shown
Narrow Above, Broad Below Conditions Narrow Below, Broad Above Conditions
61
No Benchmark Conditions
(No graph condition does not display a graph)
62
Appendix D. Assignment to Treatment
We examine assignment to treatment conditional on finishing the survey, following the
procedure described in Kuziemko, Norton, Saez, and Stantcheva (2015). Specifically, we
estimate multinomial logit regressions of the form:
푃푃(푇푇퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴= 푇푇퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴 퐴퐴푚푚퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴퐴
푖푖
) =
퐴퐴
훼훼
푖푖
+훽훽
푖푖
퐶퐶퐶퐶퐶퐶 푎푎퐶퐶 푖푖푎푎퐶퐶퐶퐶 +휀휀
푖푖
∑
퐴퐴
훼훼
푗푗
+훽훽
푗푗
퐶퐶퐶퐶퐶퐶 푎푎퐶퐶 푖푖푎푎퐶퐶퐶퐶 +휀휀
푗푗
푗푗 ∈ 푇푇퐶퐶퐶퐶푎푎퐶퐶 푇푇퐶퐶 푇푇퐶퐶푇푇
where Covariate represents one of the variables shown in the table, and i and j represent one of
the eight treatments (Condition 1 is our base treatment, so a coefficient is not estimated for
Condition 1). Across the coefficients, only 4 had a p-value significant at the 5% level – that is to
say, 5.7% (= 4/70) of coefficients were significant at the 5% level. Therefore, we need not be
very concerned that the 25 covariates we consider correlate with assignment to treatment
conditional on finishing the survey.
Table D.1. Ability of covariates to predict treatment condition
p-values for condition
Variable 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Age 0.327 0.0658 0.672 0.0724 0.0925 0.236 0.266
White Non-Hispanic 0.727 0.519 0.767 0.203 0.306 0.0484 0.206
Black Non-Hispanic 0.974 0.0475 0.196 0.0809 0.0152 0.050 0.0862
Other Non-Hispanic 0.333 0.345 0.105 0.239 0.723 0.901 0.514
Hispanic 0.986 0.628 0.106 0.182 0.490 0.418 0.987
Two or More Races 0.787 0.736 0.0858 0.249 0.885 0.854 0.631
Male 0.633 0.924 0.715 0.947 0.359 0.222 0.446
Income in $1000s (based
from bin midpoints)
0.0952 0.189 0.460 0.780 0.411 0.195 0.438
Mutual Fund Literacy
score
0.182 0.886 0.451 0.840 0.701 0.448 0.806
Eckel-Grossman Lottery
Choice
0.464 0.340 0.110 0.357 0.913 0.227 0.493
63
Appendix E. Supplementary Regression Tables
Table E.1. Regressions of fund attractiveness and allocations to the fund
Attractiveness Allocation
(1) (2)
No Graph -19.167*** -1618.667***
(1.667) (275.457)
Single benchmark above
fund
-8.574*** -779.103***
(1.474) (230.886)
Single benchmark below
fund
0.220 -87.487
(1.426) (226.954)
Two benchmarks -4.781** -375.079
(1.921) (322.007)
Any narrative 0.045 414.313
(1.838) (313.927)
Guaranteed Return of
4%
-1341.813***
(44.847)
Guaranteed Return of
6%
-2512.655***
(63.700)
Constant 65.036*** 10992.060***
(1.165) (186.073)
Observations 4,226 12,434
R2 0.047 0.054
Adjusted R2 0.046 0.054
*
p < 0.10,
**
p < 0.05,
***
p < 0.01. Robust standard errors are used for the evaluation regression and standard errors
for the allocation regressions are clustered at the participant level.
64
Table E.2. Regressions of fund attractiveness and allocations to the fund using all eight
experimental conditions
Attractiveness Allocation
(1) (2)
No graph -19.167*** -1,618.666***
(1.668) (275.491)
Single benchmark above fund
(broad)
-8.044*** -669.426**
(1.750) (275.811)
Single benchmark above fund
(narrow)
-9.074*** -881.089***
(1.710) (264.421)
Single benchmark below fund
(broad)
0.009 -30.150
(1.629) (262.498)
Single benchmark below fund
(narrow)
0.433 -145.668
(1.665) (263.764)
Two benchmarks with narrow above -3.272 -449.084
(2.106) (352.495)
Two benchmarks with broad above -6.270*** -303.052
(2.091) (351.771)
Any narrative 0.038 415.449
(1.835) (313.789)
Guaranteed return of 4% -1,341.841***
(44.851)
Guaranteed return of 6% -2,512.539***
(63.706)
Constant 65.036*** 10,992.026***
(1.165) (186.095)
Observations 4,226 12,434
R
2
0.048 0.055
Adjusted R
2
0.046 0.054
*
p < 0.10,
**
p < 0.05,
***
p < 0.01. Robust standard errors are used for the evaluation regression and standard errors
for the allocation regressions are clustered at the participant level.
MEMORANDUM
TO: File No. S7-09-20
FROM: Marc Sharma, Chief Counsel
Office of the Investor Advocate
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
DATE: September 15, 2022
RE: SEC Office of the Investor Advocate’s Research Regarding Performance
Benchmarks
Enclosed is a research report prepared by the SEC’s Office of the Investor Advocate, examining
the impact of mutual fund performance benchmarks on investor decision-making and strategic
behavior by firms. The research described in this report is separate from the Commission’s
release of the Tailored Shareholder Reports, Treatment of Annual Prospectus Updates for
Existing Investors, and Improved Fee and Risk Disclosure for Mutual Funds and Exchange-
Traded Funds; Fee Information in Investment Company Advertisements proposal. However,
because the research provides data that may be relevant for the Commission’s consideration in
the rulemaking, we are submitting it to the public comment file.
1
How do Consumers Understand Investment Quality? The Role of
Performance Benchmarks
Author Note
Alycia Chin, Principal Investigator, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange
Commission, 100 F Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549, ORCID ID: 0000-0002-9570-0549.
Jonathan Cook, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange Commission, 100 F
Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549, ORCID ID: 0000-0001-6067-0960.
Jay Dhar, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange Commission, 100 F Street,
NE, Washington, DC 20549.
Steven Nash, NORC at the University of Chicago, 4350 East-West Hwy 8th Floor, Bethesda, MD
20814
Brian Scholl, Principal Investigator, Office of the Investor Advocate, Securities and Exchange
Commission, 100 F Street, NE, Washington, DC 20549, ORCID ID: 0000-0001-5088-6952.
* The Securities and Exchange Commission disclaims responsibility for any private publication
or statement of any Commission employee or Commissioner. The Commission has expressed no
view regarding the data, analyses, findings, and conclusions contained in this publication, which
does not necessarily reflect the views of the Commission, the Commissioners, or staff of the
Commission.
Acknowledgements
We thank staff at the RAND Corporation and Ipsos for helping us conduct this research,
including Andrew Parker, Katie Carman, Vanessa Parks, and Ying Wang. We also thank staff of
the Securities and Exchange Commission, particularly members of the Office of the Investor
Advocate and Division of Investment Management, for helpful comments on our research design
and background on legal requirements. Brianna Middlewood contributed significant
experimental design and survey expertise during her tenure at the SEC. Steven Nash is an onsite
institutional contractor to OIAD. Rick Fleming provided excellent mentorship in the role of the
SEC’s first Investor Advocate.
2
Contents
How do Consumers Understand Investment Quality? The Role of Performance Benchmarks ..... 1
Author Note .................................................................................................................................... 1
Acknowledgements ......................................................................................................................... 1
Abstract ........................................................................................................................................... 4
1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 5
1.1 Mutual Fund Performance Disclosures ................................................................................. 6
1.2 Related Literature.................................................................................................................. 8
1.3 Research Overview ............................................................................................................... 8
2. Institutional Background on Benchmark Requirements ............................................................. 9
2.1 Distribution of Benchmarks ................................................................................................ 10
2.2 Performance Variation in Benchmarks ............................................................................... 13
3. Experimental Design ................................................................................................................. 14
3.1 Qualitative and Quantitative Pilot Studies .......................................................................... 15
3.2 Stimuli Selection and Construction .................................................................................... 16
3.3 Recruitment and Sample Characteristics ............................................................................ 17
3.4 Experimental Design and Measures.................................................................................... 19
4. Predictions and Decisions ......................................................................................................... 21
5. Empirical Results ...................................................................................................................... 22
3.1 Effects on Subjective Evaluations: Fund Attractiveness .................................................... 24
3.2 Effects on Incentivized Behavior: Allocation to Middlewood ........................................... 25
3.3 Broad vs. Narrow Benchmarks ........................................................................................... 25
3.4 Subgroup Analysis .............................................................................................................. 26
3.4.1 Investor Subgroup Variable Creation .......................................................................... 26
3.4.2 Attractiveness Evaluations by Investor Subgroup ....................................................... 27
3.4.3 Allocation Decisions by Investor Subgroup ................................................................ 29
3.5 Deviations from expected utility maximizing allocations .................................................. 30
3.6 Search Effort ....................................................................................................................... 33
6. Survey Responses by Investor Subgroup .................................................................................. 34
7. Analysis of Benchmark Performance Data ............................................................................... 38
8. General Discussion ................................................................................................................... 41
3
8.1 Summary of Findings .......................................................................................................... 41
8.2 Limitations .......................................................................................................................... 44
8.3 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 44
References ..................................................................................................................................... 46
Appendices .................................................................................................................................... 51
Appendix A. Additional Figures on Performance Variation .................................................... 51
Appendix B. Additional Information on Qualitative Pilot ........................................................ 57
Appendix C. Additional Detail on Experimental Stimuli ......................................................... 60
Full set of graphs shown ....................................................................................................... 60
Appendix D. Assignment to Treatment .................................................................................... 62
Appendix E. Supplementary Regression Tables ....................................................................... 63
4
Abstract
We study the impact of mutual fund performance benchmarks on investor decision-
making and potential for strategic behavior by firms in displaying benchmarks. In displaying
performance, fund companies are required to present a broad-based securities market index
(“broad benchmark”), and an optional secondary (“narrow”) benchmark that, in some instances,
can be more representative of the fund’s sector or strategy. Importantly, fund companies have
discretion over the choice of benchmarks, within the confines that the benchmarks they select
must meet the criteria that the federal securities laws require, presenting opportunity for strategic
selection. Our research examines market data and the results of a large behavioral experiment to
understand how fund companies employ benchmarks and how investors respond to the
presentation of benchmarks.
Standard economic theory does not provide a straightforward role for how benchmarks
affect investor decisions. In the experiment, we examine two primary outcomes: (1) subjective
attractiveness ratings for a synthetic fund and (2) an incentive-compatible participation outcome
that offers participants the choice between our fund and a guaranteed return over a six-month
holding period. We administer treatment conditions that vary the number of benchmarks
presented, the relative position of the benchmark vis-à-vis our synthetic fund, the use of broad or
narrow benchmarks, and the use of narrative text. Our results indicate that investors respond to
benchmarks. In particular, subjective attractiveness ratings are much lower when participants
view fund performance accompanied by a single benchmark that outperforms the fund. This
decrease in attractiveness also occurs, to a lesser extent, when participants view two benchmarks
that both outperform and underperform the fund. Allocations to the synthetic fund are also lower
when participants see a single benchmark above the fund. Surprisingly, participants with higher
investment sophistication appear to react most strongly to benchmarks (rather than lower
sophistication individuals). Additionally, the distinction between narrow and broad benchmarks
and the narrative descriptive text about the benchmarks do not have a differential impact beyond
the position of the benchmark. Finally, using an economic model, we ask what type of
benchmark presentation gets investors closest to their optimal allocation, finding that conditions
with no benchmark and with two benchmarks minimize distortions.
Using data from the Morningstar Direct database, we contextualize these findings and the
concerns that our results raise in situations where funds have discretion regarding the selection of
benchmarks. Specifically, we document performance variation of benchmarks within a given
sector, as well as the decision to present a secondary benchmark. Ultimately, these patterns raise
the possibility that funds can pick benchmarks that satisfy the requirements for permissible
benchmarks, but are relatively poor performing as compared to other permissible benchmarks.
This would put the fund’s relative performance in a more positive light, which may affect
investors’ evaluations and investment decisions.
Keywords: mutual fund performance, benchmarks
5
1. Introduction
Every day, American investors use a variety of financial products to pursue their financial
goals. Investors express interest in using mutual funds1 to fund retirement, save for educational
expenses, and protect against emergencies (ICI, 2021a), contributing to a growing, $25 trillion
mutual fund industry.
To ensure that investors receive the information they need to make decisions about
investments, regulations require financial institutions to provide “disclosures,” informational
documents that include product terms and agreements (Kozup et al., 2012). Numerous
regulations require disclosures of important attributes of investment products. For example,
financial regulations require that disclosures such as the “prospectus” document contain a wealth
of information on fees and expenses, risks, objectives, and performance (for requirements for
open-ended funds, see Form N-1A, the registration form for these funds). Despite the prevalence
of disclosure requirements, there is significant debate about the ability of consumers to
comprehend mandatory disclosures and the corresponding usefulness of these disclosures to
guide decisions (e.g., Ben-Shahar and Schneider, 2011).
The current research examines industry practices regarding historical performance
information and disclosures of that information. In particular, we examine fund choices of
mutual fund “benchmarks,” comparisons that are required to be present in many fund
disclosures, and that may help investors contextualize fund performance; the requirements for
benchmarks are described further in Section 2.
We concentrate on performance for a few reasons. First, this is an area that is important
to existing and prospective investors; investors report that performance information is important
to them (ICI, 2021b) and significant research, described further below, shows that performance
information attracts attention. Second, the normative and descriptive roles of benchmark
information in decision-making are not entirely clear, with different theories providing different
guidance regarding whether benchmarks should be impactful or ignored. Potential disagreement
about the role of benchmarks makes this area a fruitful one for empirical testing. Finally, a
recent rule proposal by the Securities and Exchange Commission addressed, in part, funds’ use
of performance benchmark indexes.2
In this paper, we use several research methods to triangulate the role and the effects of
benchmarks. Most importantly, we conducted a behavioral experiment using a large, nationally
representative study population to determine how investors’ evaluations of funds and investment
behavior respond to benchmarks, and we conducted extensive market data analysis to understand
how benchmarks are used. We also conducted a small number of formative qualitative interviews
with investors to better design our main research methodologies.
1 In this paper, the term “funds” refers to open-end funds registered on Form N-1A.
2 See Tailored Shareholder Reports, Treatment of Annual Prospectus Updates for Existing Investors, and Improved Fee and Risk Disclosure for
Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds; Fee Information in Investment Company Advertisements, Investment Company Act Release No.
33963 (Aug. 5, 2020) [85 FR 70716 (Nov. 5, 2020)]. (“2020 Shareholder Reports Proposal”).
6
1.1 Mutual Fund Performance Disclosures
Extant research demonstrates that investors care about historical performance of
investments. Research consistently shows that investors prioritize information on investment
performance (Barber, Odean, and Zheng 2005; Pontari, Stanaland, and Smythe 2009; Scholl,
Craig, and Chin, 2022). One common theory for why investors weigh historical information
heavily is that they expect historical returns to persist. Indeed, attention to performance
information persists even in the face of statements that funds are required to include in their
disclosure that the fund’s past performance is not necessarily an indication of how the fund will
perform in the future (Johnson, Tellis, and VanBergen, 2022).3
When presenting historical performance data in prospectuses and shareholder reports,
funds are required to provide a benchmark that investors can use to make comparisons. A fund
references an “appropriate broad-based securities market index,” which we refer to as a “broad
benchmark” for brevity. These benchmarks represent broad market activity (e.g., S&P 500).
Funds may also reference additional, more narrowly based indexes that reflect the market sectors
in which the fund invests, which we refer to as “narrow benchmarks” (more details in the next
section). For instance, a fund specializing in the materials sector might display its performance
against a materials sector index (a “narrow” benchmark).
There are at least three theories regarding why benchmarks could affect investors’
decision-making. First, if investors are imperfectly informed about the distribution of
performance information – possibly because it is difficult to search through an industry with over
8,000 mutual fund options – then providing a benchmark could provide a shortcut to
distributional information that allows investors to avert costly search (Hortaҫsu and Syverson,
2004). Second, a benchmark could provide information about market shocks (“factors” in
arbitrage pricing theory), contextualizing factors and events that the fund cannot avoid. A
narrow benchmark provides information about the return relative to the factors that the fund is
exposed to. Again, following this theory, benchmark information could provide information
about the overall performance of a fund. Third, psychological theory suggests that, to increase
understanding and help people with unfamiliar or otherwise difficult-to-evaluate products,
disclosures should provide decision makers with meaningful comparisons (e.g., Chin and Bruine
de Bruin 2019; Hsee 1996; Hsee and Zhang 2010; Larrick et al. 2015). As such, it is possible that
benchmarks help drive evaluations by providing a salient comparison. When the Commission
adopted the requirement to present fund performance against an appropriate broad-based
securities market index, the Commission stated that the index comparison requirement is
designed to show how much value the management of the fund added by showing whether the
fund “out-performed” or “under-performed” the market.4
3 See, e.g., Items 4(b)(i) and 27(b)(7)(ii) of Form N-1A; rule 482(b)(3)(i) under the Securities Act of 1933.
4 See Disclosure of Mutual Fund Performance and Portfolio Managers, Investment Company Act Release No. 19382 (Apr. 6, 1993) [58 FR 19050
(Apr. 12, 1993)] (“1993 Mutual Fund Performance Disclosure Final Rules”); see also Tailored Shareholder Reports, Treatment of Annual
Prospectus Updates for Existing Investors, and Improved Fee and Risk Disclosure for Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds; Fee
Information in Investment Company Advertisements, Investment Company Act Release No. 33963 (Aug. 5, 2020) [85 FR 70716 (Nov. 5, 2020)]
7
There are also reasons why benchmarks could have limited effects. In situations where a
fund’s historical performance is disclosed, and the fund’s performance itself is the decision-
relevant attribute, it is not clear what information is gained from a benchmark. The strictest
reading of a classic Rational Expectations framework, which assumes perfect information and no
limitations on information processing ability, would imply that investors would be highly
informed regardless of the fund’s provision of a benchmark. While these assumptions may not
be tenable for real-world investment behavior, especially for retail investors, it can be useful to
treat this framework as a logical comparison. A second reason why benchmarks may have a
limited impact is that some investors may believe that funds choose benchmarks strategically, in
an attempt to influence investor evaluations. In this case, investors may consciously attempt to
ignore benchmark comparisons. Third, investors who do not understand what the benchmark
information is supposed to represent may ignore it. Thus, there are some reasons why investors
may not respond to benchmark information.
Finally, if a benchmark is not well-matched to a fund, it could provide a confusing or
distorting signal about whether a fund is performing relatively well. Active share is defined as
the percentage of a fund’s holdings that differ from their benchmark (Cremers and Petajisto,
2009); funds that have higher active share have more potential to deviate from their benchmarks.
Indeed, this critique has been raised by industry in stating that, for instance, specialized sector
funds should not need to be compared to a “broad-based” benchmark, like the S&P 500 (Fidelity,
2021; ICI, 2020; John Hancock, 2021). If investors face benchmarks they believe are not well-
matched, it is possible they find that information irrelevant. At the same time, financial
regulations offer funds at least some discretion on the choice of benchmarks.5 This discretion
raises the possibility that some funds could choose benchmarks strategically to make the fund
appear more attractive to current or potential investors. Prior work, focusing on the role of
narrow benchmarks, has found that some funds’ benchmarks do not provide the best match in
terms of exposure to market factors (as in Sensoy, 2009) or in terms of holdings (as in Cremers,
Fulkerson, and Riley, 2022). The extent to which such strategic selections occur, and the extent
of their influence on investors, remains an open question for future research. Evaluating funds
relative to their benchmarks can also give rise to other behaviors. There are incentives for fund
managers to incorporate their benchmark in their fund’s holdings to hedge against poor
performance relative to the benchmark (Pavlova and Sikorskaya, 2022).
Proposal (proposing changes to funds’ shareholder report contents and presentation, but proposing to retain the requirement for funds to present
performance in relation to an appropriate broad-based securities market index).
5 See Instruction 5 to Form N-1A Item 27A(b)(7) (defining “appropriate broad-based securities market index”) and Instruction 6 to Form N-1A
Item 27A(b)(7) (encouraging a fund, in addition to comparing its performance to the required broad-based index, also to include other more
narrowly based indexes that reflect the market sectors in which the fund invests). Both instructions provide flexibility to the fund to choose the
indexes it includes in its performance presentation, within the parameters that the instructions specify. See also Disclosure of Mutual Fund
Performance and Portfolio Managers, Investment Company Act Release No. 19382 (Apr. 6, 1993) [58 FR 19050 (Apr. 12, 1993)] (stating that the
final rules’ instruction requiring the inclusion of an appropriate broad-based securities market index “gives a fund considerable flexibility in
selecting a broad-based index that it believes best reflects the market(s) in which it invests).”
8
1.2 Related Literature
Our work is related to several existing areas of academic research. There are two closely
related papers. The first is Sensoy (2009), which finds that mutual funds flows respond to the
performance of the fund relative to the prospectus benchmark. The second is Mullaly and Rossi
(2022), which analyzes changes to mutual funds’ self-declared benchmarks using prospectus
data. This paper finds that funds change indexes in a manner that improves relative-benchmark
performance; that is, they are more likely to add indexes with lower past returns and drop
indexes with higher past returns. Unlike these papers, we do not analyze benchmark changes.
Instead, we examine the mechanism behind investors’ decisions, including perceptions of future
risk and return and performance relative to other options. Additionally, we use a mix of
experimental and industry data, whereas these authors concentrate on fund data.
We also contribute to several broader literatures. First, a large and growing literature
conducts randomized evaluations of information provision. For mutual funds in particular,
related papers include Choi, Laibson, and Madrian (2010); Kozup, Howlett, and Pagano (2008);
and Thorp, Bateman, Dobrescu, Newell, and Ortmann (2020). Within household finance, similar
work is conducted by Chin and Bruine de Bruin (2019) for credit cards, Lacko and Pappalardo
(2010) for mortgages, and Chin et al. (2022) for overdraft.
Second, we contribute to literature on households’ subjective probabilities (for a review,
see Bruine de Bruin, Chin, Dominitz, and van der Klauuw, 2022) and more specifically, how
information experiments affect beliefs. The number of papers on this topic are growing,
including for topics like inflation and home prices (e.g., Armantier, Nelson, Topa, van der
Klaauw and Zafar, 2016; Armona, Fuster, and Zafar, 2016).
Third, we speak to research examining search costs within the investment industry.
Various papers model retail investors as having high search costs, assuming that investors
randomly sample other mutual funds and stop when search costs are “too high” (see Hortaҫsu
and Syverson, 2004). Survey data from Choi and Robertson (2020) support the idea of search
costs, as 40% of non-investors in their nationally representative sample say that the costs of
learning about stocks are an important factor in why they do not participate in the stock market.
Other empirical papers include Roussanov, Ruan, and Wei (2021), in which an average investor
implicitly incurs a cost equivalent of foregoing 0.39% return on investment every time a fund is
sampled. Hortaҫsu and Syverson (2004) estimate search costs for index funds between 11 and 20
basis points.
1.3 Research Overview
We proceed in the following sections: First, we describe the institutional background in
detail, including regulatory requirements on fund disclosure of benchmarks (Section 2). Next, we
describe the state of benchmark disclosure using an analysis of the Morningstar Direct database,
which includes data on mutual funds and their associated benchmarks. We provide statistics on
the prevalence of certain common benchmarks and show that, within every sector, there are at
9
least a dozen unique benchmarks for funds to choose from (Section 2.1). Performance of these
benchmarks can vary by over 400% over a 10-year period (Section 2.2). In Sections 3 and 5, we
describe the setup and results of our experiment, in which we measure how investors and non-
investors respond to variation in disclosure of mutual fund benchmarks. We find that
participants respond to benchmark presentations, with variation in subjective evaluations of
funds and incentivized investment decisions. Perhaps surprisingly, given the prominence of
beliefs regarding future performance in economic models of investing (e.g., Markowitz, 1952;
Sharpe, 1964), and the role expectations often play in theoretical and empirical work on investor
behavior (e.g. Giglio, Maggiori, Stroebel, and Utkus, 2021; Barberis, Jin, and Wang, 2021), we
find limited evidence that expectations of future performance differ across conditions (Section
3.5). Also surprisingly, non-investors – the least sophisticated participants – were relatively
unaffected by benchmark presentation (Section 3.4). In Section 6, we describe survey results
regarding benchmarks. In Section 7, we return to an analysis of Morningstar Direct to provide
further descriptive evidence on the potential for strategic behavior by funds in benchmark
disclosure. Section 8 summarizes and concludes.
2. Institutional Background on Benchmark Requirements
Financial regulations require funds to provide comparative information when presenting
performance data in their shareholder reports.6 Specifically, if sufficient history is available,
funds must provide a line graph that shows 10 fiscal years of performance, accompanied by an
“appropriate broad-based securities market index,” in annual shareholder reports that are
provided to existing investors. Funds may also provide this line graph in semi-annual shareholder
reports. In both reports’ line graphs, funds have the option of presenting performance relative to
one or more additional indexes. These additional indexes can be “broad-based,” as with the first,
or more narrowly tailored to the assets and strategy of the fund.7 For brevity, we refer to both of
these indexes as “benchmarks,” and distinguish between “broad-based” and “narrow”
benchmarks. Benchmarks also are required to be provided in the performance disclosure that
appears in funds’ statutory prospectuses and summary prospectuses, and they commonly are
provided in fund advertising as well.
6 See id.
7 Mutual funds’ prospectus and shareholder report disclosures are governed by Form N-1A. Instruction 5 to Item 27, “Financial Statements” in
Form N-1A states, “For purposes of this Item, an “appropriate broad-based securities market index” is one that is administered by an organization
that is not an affiliated person of the Fund, its investment adviser, or principal underwriter, unless the index is widely recognized and used. Adjust
the index to reflect the reinvestment of dividends on securities in the index, but do not reflect the expenses of the Fund.” Instruction 6 to this
Item states, “A Fund is encouraged to compare its performance not only to the required broad-based index, but also to other more narrowly based
indexes that reflect the market sectors in which the Fund invests. A Fund also may compare its performance to an additional broad-based index,
or to a non-securities index (e.g., the Consumer Price Index), so long as the comparison is not misleading.” See https://www.sec.gov/files/formn-
1a.pdf.
https://www.sec.gov/files/formn-1a.pdf
https://www.sec.gov/files/formn-1a.pdf
10
2.1 Distribution of Benchmarks
The benchmarks chosen by mutual funds that appear in their statutory prospectuses are
captured in the Morningstar Direct open-ended fund database. We analyze data on benchmarks
from Morningstar database as of March 2022, the most recent complete month of data available
as of the time of this writing. In these analyses, we concentrate only on equity funds. We
remove target date funds, since they are less likely to concentrate on performance than changes
in risk profile; this focus is reflected in use of blended benchmarks with weights that are
continually adjusted as they approach their target date. We also remove index funds because
their goal is to track benchmarks. This brings our data set to 3,187 mutual funds. Benchmarks are
the same for all share classes within a given fund.
The Morningstar database captures “primary” and “secondary” indexes. However,
because there is no ordering requirement for fund benchmarks, Morningstar’s identification of
primary and secondary benchmarks could provide an imperfect mapping to “broad” and
“narrow” indexes as described in regulatory requirements. As such, we reclassified benchmarks
as broad and narrow based on the correlation of the benchmark with the S&P 500, so that the
benchmark with the highest correlation was identified as the broad benchmark and subsequent
benchmarks were considered as the secondary. In the text, we occasionally use “broad” and
“primary” and “narrow” and “secondary” interchangeably.8
Nearly all funds have at least one benchmark listed, with a handful of missing
benchmarks in the data for funds with recent inception dates.9 In contrast, approximately 70% of
funds choose not to include a second benchmark (left panel of Figure 1). Table 1 displays the 10
most common primary and secondary benchmarks in the database. In cases where a fund has
two benchmarks listed, we define the primary benchmark as the benchmark with the largest
correlation with the S&P 500 Index,10 which is the most commonly used benchmark. As shown
in the table, the S&P 500 Total Return Index accounts for 23% of the primary benchmarks.
Among the list of the most common benchmarks, there are a set of arguably broad benchmarks, a
set of arguably sector-specific benchmarks, and a set of global or emerging market benchmarks.
Some indexes appear in both lists (e.g., Russell 2000 Value Total Return and Russell 1000
Growth Total Return). The table does not show the least common benchmarks. In the top 12
8 In considering individual fund’s choices of benchmarks, we also found cases in which the benchmarks chosen by funds were difficult to
interpret in the sense of broad and narrow benchmarks. In separate analysis (not shown) we also used alternative definitions corresponding to
“broad” and “narrow”, including Morningstar classifications of Primary and Secondary. Analyses from these classifications provided
qualitatively identical and quantitatively similar results. Note also that Morningstar captures only two benchmarks (or less) for each fund, but we
have observed cases in which more than two benchmarks are used by a fund.
9 To verify the data, we randomly selected 105 funds and pulled benchmark information for those funds from the funds’ prospectus documents.
We found that the primary benchmarks matched in 104 cases and did not match in one case. The secondary benchmarks matched in 97 cases, and
did not match in eight cases.
10 According to the S&P Dow Jones Indices website (https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/#overview), “The S&P 500® is
widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. According to our Annual Survey of Assets, an estimated USD 13.5 trillion is
indexed or benchmarked to the index, with indexed assets comprising approximately USD 5.4 trillion of this total (as of Dec. 31, 2020). The
index includes 500 leading companies and covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization.” In addition to being the most
commonly used benchmark by fund companies, it is commonly used in academic studies, and it is widely recognized: “in the US, the most widely
known market value-weighted stock index is the S&P 500” (Beneish and Whaley, 1997); and “The S&P 500 Index is widely recognized as
reflecting the overall state of the U.S. economy…” (Latham and Braun, 2010).
https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/#overview
11
sectors by fund count, 10.8% of funds use a primary benchmark used by less than 5 funds in their
sector. For secondary benchmarks, this figure is 16.0%.
Figure 1. Number of Unique Benchmarks and Percentage of Funds with Benchmarks.
Table 1. Ten Most Common Primary and Secondary Benchmarks.
Note. This table shows the most common primary and secondary benchmarks used by funds.
The percent column for primary benchmarks show the percentage of total funds analyzed with
that primary benchmark (i.e., out of our sample of 3,187). The percent column for the secondary
benchmark shows the percentage of funds with that benchmark, among those that choose to have
any secondary benchmark (i.e., of 959 funds).
To better understand the relationship between these indexes, we next explored the
correlations between them. Specifically, we calculated the correlation between each primary
index and the S&P 500 Index using monthly data over the past 10 years. Figure 2 displays the
12
proportion of funds whose benchmark meets or exceeds a given correlation “threshold.” The
curve is downward sloping, demonstrating that, as the correlation threshold increases (to the
right on the graph), the proportion of funds meeting that threshold necessarily decreases. The
23% of funds that use the S&P 500 Index as their primary benchmark are displayed at the right-
most extreme of the graph, with a correlation of 1.00. Finally, the red vertical lines display
example correlations between a selected index and the S&P 500 Index. As shown, other broad-
based security market indexes (e.g. the Wilshire 5000 Index) were extremely highly correlated
with the S&P 500 Index. An index like the MSCI ACWI Index, which reflects large- and mid-
cap stocks,11 has a correlation of 0.96. Notably, many of the most common sector benchmarks
also were highly correlated with the S&P 500 Index (about 0.90 to 0.97). Even among the
common global indices, some indices had a correlation with the S&P 500 Index of over 0.95.
Nevertheless, in our data, only about half of funds present at least one benchmark that has a
correlation with the S&P 500 Index of 0.95 or above (Figure 2).
Figure 2. Distribution of Benchmark Correlations with S&P 500 Index.
11 According to the MSCI website (https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/indexes/acwi), “The MSCI ACWI Index, MSCI’s flagship global equity
index, is designed to represent performance of the full opportunity set of large- and mid-cap stocks across 23 developed and 24 emerging
markets. As of May 2022, it covers more than 2,933 constituents across 11 sectors and approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market
capitalization in each market.”
13
Note. This figure displays the proportion of funds that have a benchmark with the S&P 500
Index at a given correlation threshold or higher. Correlations are calculated using monthly levels
of the benchmark and S&P 500 Index.
2.2 Performance Variation in Benchmarks
Figure 1 also shows number of unique benchmarks used for each of the top 12 sectors (by
fund count). It suggests that, at the minimum, funds in a given sector use at least 10 distinct
benchmarks. However, the number of benchmarks that exist within a given sector can be higher.
For example, funds in the Large Blend category jointly use 39 unique secondary benchmarks.
To further explore variation in of benchmark performance, Figure 3 below illustrates the
degree of variation in the performance of benchmarks used. Specifically, we plot the value of a
hypothetical $10,000 investment over the period September 2011 to September 2021 for each
benchmark in each sector (see additional sectors in Appendix A). The charts are split by primary
and secondary benchmarks. In every case, there is a wide gap between the returns of the best and
worst performing benchmarks; in Figure 3, for example the ratio of highest to lowest return
benchmarks is 4.84 for primary benchmarks, meaning that performance could be 484% higher
for a high-performing benchmark versus a low-performing one within the same sector. This
variation demonstrates that funds within a given sector are using benchmarks that vary widely in
performance.
14
Figure 3. Variation in benchmark performance among US Large Growth Value Funds.
Note. Graph displays performance of a $10,000 investment over a 10-year period. Each black
line represents an index that is used by a fund. See Appendix A for additional examples.
3. Experimental Design
To understand the role of benchmarks in investors’ decision-making, we use a controlled
experiment that helps abstract away from the specific properties of any particular benchmark. In
the experiment, we vary displays of cumulative performance information in a between-subjects
design, and measure participants’ subjective evaluations and investment choices. The
experimental design consists of eight randomly assigned benchmark presentation conditions. We
focus on two main outcomes: our primary outcome of interest is participants’ subjective
evaluation of the attractiveness of a hypothetical “Middlewood Materials Fund”; our secondary
outcome relates to an incentive-compatible participation game in which participants chose to
allocate a fraction of a hypothetical $15,000 investment balance between investment in the fund
and a savings account paying a fixed interest rate. Additionally, to better understand consumers’
beliefs about benchmarks, we collect nationally representative survey data on different
statements about benchmarks.
15
3.1 Qualitative and Quantitative Pilot Studies
Before running our experiment, we conducted qualitative and quantitative pilot studies.
Our qualitative pilot study included interviews with 16 geographically disbursed U.S. investors,
recruited from the AmeriSpeak panel administered by NORC at the University of Chicago. All
of the participants reported owning “mutual funds, exchange traded funds (ETFs) or similar
pooled investments” in a screening survey. Additionally, we sampled participants with a range
of both high and low mutual fund literacy (as assessed by Scholl and Fontes, 2021). Interviews
took place online in October and November 2021.
During the interviews, participants reviewed a three-page mockup of a shareholder report
that featured a hypothetical “Middlewood Small Cap Fund.” The interviews started by collecting
general impressions of the document and understanding of the fund’s fees. Next, participants
viewed four versions of a 10-year performance graph.12 For all participants, presentation of
graphs went as follows: the first graph showed the fund’s performance alone; the second was a
randomly assigned graph that displayed the fund with either a narrow benchmark or broad-based
benchmark (represented by the Russell 2000 Small Cap Value Index or the S&P 500 Index,
respectively); a third graph displayed the fund with both benchmarks; and the final graph
included text explaining the benchmarks (see Appendix B). The rationale for introducing
benchmarks in this way was to gain initial insight on how introduction of benchmark information
could affect fund evaluations after the participant had provided an initial impression without the
benchmark. As noted in Section 2 above, the S&P 500 Index is the most common broad-based
market index. The Russell 2000 Small Cap Value Index was selected by examining the
performance of all narrow benchmarks currently used by small cap funds with at least ten years
of performance history in their prospectus disclosures and selecting the benchmark representing
US small cap funds with the worst cumulative performance over the prior ten years. This allowed
us to gain preliminary insight on how investors might react to a benchmark line that is relatively
poor performing over the period. In the qualitative study, the monthly returns of the
Middlewood Small Cap Fund were generated by adding a small positive alpha and some noise to
the narrow benchmark. The noise was generated such that for a random 20% of months a small
amount was added or subtracted from the returns. This was done so that the fluctuations of the
fund and narrow benchmark did not match exactly, but so that fund volatility did not
differ substantially from the benchmark.
For the purposes of the current research, we highlight only three findings from the
interviews (see some additional discussion in Appendix B). First, they suggested that
benchmarks could affect participants’ interpretation of mutual fund performance, as all
participants stated something about relative performance between the fund and one or both
benchmarks. For example, one participant noted, “Clearly the fund has outperformed the small
cap value index, fairly significantly over time” (Male, 65 years old). Most participants appeared
12 Graphical performance information is often contained in other informational content such as fund prospectuses, as well as fact sheets and other
advertisements. These other informational sources have differing regulations on the presentation of information. While our findings in this study
are generalizable to the use of graphical benchmark information in many contexts, we focused on the requirements for shareholder reports.
16
to react to the inclusion of benchmarks by updating their subjective evaluation of the fund in
reaction to the relative position of the line. So when a reference line was provided with inferior
performance over the ten-year period, we tended to observe that participants updated their
evaluation of the fund in a more positive way, while a reference line with superior performance
seemed to lead to a more negative impression of the fund. A second preliminary takeaway was
that some participants were not familiar with specific benchmarks, for instance, “I don’t know
what the Russell 2000 is, and I can’t compare against something where I don’t know what it is”
(Female, 24 years old). Such confusion led us to attempt to clarify the benchmarks by adding
text describing the benchmarks underneath the graphs (as described in the “narrative” conditions
below). Third, participants mentioned some (often mistaken) beliefs in response to the
performance graph. For example, one participant stated, referring to the fund and the narrow
index, that “One is ‘value fund’ and one is ‘value index’ so it’s not clear if the index is part of the
fund.” Following the mental models approach (Morgan, Fischhoff, Bostrom, and Atman, 2001),
such statements informed particular survey items we administered in the experiment, primarily
described in Section 6.
Our quantitative pilot study was conducted in March 2022 and included 366 participants
recruited from the Ipsos Knowledge Panel, which is also used for the full experiment. The main
purpose of this pilot was to evaluate the specific framework used for the allocation decisions
described below, the appearance of the stimuli on personal devices, the overall length of the
survey, and other operational details of survey administration (e.g., sampling). Following the
quantitative pilot, we simplified certain question to reduce respondent burden. Pilot participants
are not included in the analyses below.
3.2 Stimuli Selection and Construction
For this study, we carefully designed our stimuli (for additional detail, see Appendix C).
Our research questions required two criteria be met. First, we needed to present narrow and
broad-based benchmarks so that we could determine whether this classification differentially
affected participants’ reactions to the disclosed information. Second, to isolate the effect of
benchmark classification and avoid confounding effects of performance differences, we needed
to be able to present narrow and broad-based benchmarks with identical performance. Further,
we believed that presenting benchmarks that performed both better than, and worse than, the
Middlewood Fund would provide the most interesting theoretical variation.
To satisfy these criteria, we used the Morningstar Direct database to identify a naturally
occurring set of four benchmarks. Specifically, we selected two narrow benchmarks that could
apply to a materials fund. We also identified two broad-based benchmarks that had similar
performance to the two narrow benchmarks. In the end, this process yielded two pairs of
benchmarks; in each pair, there was one narrow and one broad-based benchmark that had similar
cumulative 10-year performance and variance. Between the two pairs, there was a performance
difference (11% vs. 16% annual return on average over 10 years); the Middlewood Materials
17
Fund is a synthetic fund constructed to fall between these two figures. The fact that we were
able to identify such pairings of benchmarks used by actual funds within an actual market sector
highlights the flexibility of current disclosure rules (i.e., the discretion that funds have over the
choice of benchmarks) and the potential for strategic selection of benchmarks by firms.
To provide the impression that the benchmarks were broad-based or narrow, we named
them the “Imprimiis Total US Market 1000 Index” or “Imprimiis Materials Select Index,”
respectively. In certain “narrative” conditions, we addressed the potential concern raised by
participants in the qualitative pretest that they were unfamiliar with certain benchmarks.
Specifically, we explained the meaning of the two benchmarks by saying “This graph compares
the Middlewood Materials Fund to two indexes. The first index, the Imprimiis Total US Market
1000 Index, allows you to see how the fund is performing relative to the US stock market as a
whole. The second index, the Imprimiis Materials Select Index, allows you to see how the fund
is performing relative to an index with similar investments in the materials sector.”13 This text
was reviewed by securities market experts to ensure it was realistic.
3.3 Recruitment and Sample Characteristics
We recruited participants using the Ipsos Knowledge Panel, a nationally representative
internet panel.14 The Ipsos panel includes approximately 60,000 members who were recruited
via probability-based sampling methods. The Knowledge Panel provides computers and internet
connections for respondents who do not have them at the time of panel recruitment. Each
panelist provides basic demographics upon enrollment, as well as survey responses on various
topics (such as financial behaviors, a subjective assessment of their credit score, and health
insurance coverage). They receive incentives for completing each survey and are automatically
entered into sweepstakes for additional gift cards or cash. For this survey, respondents could
also receive payments for their investment decisions, which we describe below. We began with
a subsample of the Knowledge Panel that included only US citizens aged 18 or older.
Table 2 presents summary data for the samples of valid observations that were
randomized into treatment or control. Demographic characteristics are drawn from data that the
respondent provided to Ipsos upon enrollment in the panel. Missing covariates were collected
via survey questions at the end of the experiment if necessary. Using a variety of procedures, we
verified that random assignment worked insofar as the experiment was balanced (for additional
detail on one, see Appendix D).
13 In another condition, we had an additional sentence saying, “These indexes allow you to better understand the performance of alternative
investment options.” However, there were no significant differences between this longer narrative and its shorter counterpart on our primary
outcome measures, and therefore we collapsed these two conditions in our analyses.
14 This Ipsos panel has been used by many other studies, including reports by other regulators, see, for example, Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau (2020).
18
Table 2. Summary statistics for study participants.
Variable Mean Std. dev.
Age 52.40 16.90
Male 0.51 0.50
Income in $1000s (based from bin midpoints) 95.00 55.70
Net assets ($)15 422,000 950,000
Race/ethnicity
White Non-Hispanic 0.71 0.46
Black Non-Hispanic 0.10 0.30
Other Non-Hispanic 0.05 0.22
Hispanic 0.11 0.32
Two or More Races 0.03 0.17
Education
No high school diploma or GED 0.06 0.23
High school graduate (high school diploma or the
equivalent GED)
0.25 0.43
Some college or Associate's degree 0.28 0.45
Bachelor's degree 0.24 0.43
Master's degree or higher 0.18 0.39
Investor type
Non-investors 0.32 0.47
Retirement-only investors 0.24 0.43
Independent investors 0.45 0.50
Investment ownership
Report owning investments that track the overall US
stock market, like an S&P 500 Index fund or a Dow
Jones Industrial Average fund
0.27 0.44
Report owning investments with a concentration in
industrial manufacturing or materials
0.08 0.27
Investment knowledge
Mutual fund knowledge score (0-11) 4.32 3.06
Knowledge of sector return beliefs (0-3) 1.21 0.89
Prediction error for beliefs about S&P 500 growth
(distance to true growth rate, in percentage points)
11.28 15.26
Device used to answer survey
Computer 0.45 0.50
Tablet 0.12 0.33
15 Due to some abnormal submissions by participants regarding their net wealth, submissions that were below the 1st percentile (-$200,000) of
reported net worth or above the 99th percentile ($6,000,000) of reported net worth were set to -$200,000 and $6,000,000, respectively. These
trimmed values were then used in all analyses instead of the original abnormal submitted values.
19
Variable Mean Std. dev.
Mobile 0.41 0.49
Other 0.01 0.12
3.4 Experimental Design and Measures
Participants began the experiment by answering survey questions about their household’s
financial management, beliefs about the 10-year historical performance of the S&P 500 index
(gone up, gone down, or stayed the same, with an annual percent change follow-up), and how
specialized sectors (technology, healthcare, and manufacturing) had performed over that period.
We used these variables to assess general familiarity and knowledge of investing.
Next participants considered a scenario in which they had inherited $15,000 in the
Middlewood Materials Fund, a fund that “invests in companies that collect and process raw
materials” and charges expenses of 0.25% per year.16 They were randomized to one of eight
conditions that varied in terms of graphical presentations (see Figure 4 for an example; full
stimuli in Appendix C). The “fund only” condition included a cumulative performance graph
that displayed only the Middlewood Materials Fund, and acted as the control condition for the
majority of the analyses. Six of the other conditions included additional benchmarks (narrow
only, broad-based only, or both), that varied in placement (if the respective benchmark(s) were
outperforming or underperforming the Middlewood Fund). The final “no graph” condition did
not include any performance information, and was designed to measure how historical
performance information influenced beliefs about the Middlewood Fund’s future performance.
In the two conditions where both benchmarks were shown, participants were also randomly
assigned to see narrative text, or not, to assess the relative impact of explaining the benchmarks’
content.
16 This expense ratio is at the 13th percentile for funds with that specialization since 2000 (which are observed every year for each fund that exists
in that year), based on the Morningstar data.20
Figure 4. Example of experimental stimuli for a condition with both benchmarks.
Participants reported their subjective evaluations of the fund’s attractiveness (“In your
opinion, how attractive is the Middlewood Materials Fund as an investment?” 0 = Very poor to
100 = Very good) and were asked to explain their ratings in a few sentences (open-ended text
box). They were also asked for their evaluation of the fund’s historical performance (“In your
opinion, how well do you think the Middlewood Materials Fund performed over the past 10
years?” 0 = Very poor performance to 100 = Very good performance), their subjective
assessment of the fund’s riskiness (“In your opinion, how risky is the Middlewood Materials
Fund as an investment?” 0 = Not at all risky to 100 = Extremely risky) and information
confidence (“If you were making an investment decision today, how confident are you that you
have enough information to make decisions about the Middlewood Materials Fund?” 0 = Not at
all confident to 100 = Extremely confident).
To provide a behavioral measure of investment activity, participants were next asked to
make three allocation decisions, in which they could allocate a $15,000 investment between the
Middlewood Materials Fund or an account with a guaranteed return (with interest rates of 6%,
4%, and 2%). All participants were informed that subset of participants would be paid based on
how much money they had remaining after a 6-month period; for instance, if they ended up with
$12,000 remaining, they could receive a bonus payment of $120. These allocation decisions
21
were followed by four survey questions that could provide insight on why participants chose to
invest (or not), such as “I am not interested in investing in a materials fund.”
Consistent with experiments testing informational interventions on subjective
expectations (e.g., Armantier, Nelson, Topa, van der Klaauw and Zafar, 2016; Armona, Fuster,
and Zafar, 2016), participants were asked to assign probabilities of various Middlewood
Materials Fund price movements over the next 6 months. Specifically, they were asked to assign
a percent chance to each of 6 price bins for a $100 investment in the fund (ranging from being
worth “$90 or less” to being worth “$130 or more”).
After asking for beliefs about the fund’s performance, we asked a series of multiple
choice questions about participants’ interpretation of the graphs (e.g., “In terms of total returns
from December 2011 to November 2021, how did the Middlewood Materials Fund perform
relative to the materials sector?”), their preferences for benchmark information, and other beliefs
about the graphs that were shown (e.g., “This graph was designed to make the Middlewood
Materials Fund look good”). Many of the statements about the graphs were drawn from the
qualitative interviews conducted with participants prior to the study, as described above. We
chose to administer these statements to assess the frequency of lay beliefs about investment
performance graphs. Finally, the experiment concluded with background questions about
participants, including their mutual fund knowledge, risk preferences, and wealth. We collected
device type to control for the possibility that respondents using mobile devices could not see the
graphs.
4. Predictions and Decisions
Our two primary outcome measures may lead to two different interpretations by study
participants because they differ in terms of reference settings. To evaluate the attractiveness of
the Middlewood Materials Fund, participants could draw on outside knowledge or the stimulus
presented. In such circumstances, participants may ignore the graphical information presented
entirely, or they may evaluate the fund against the graphical information; for example, they could
compare the fund’s performance against the benchmarks shown. Standard economic theory does
not provide much guidance on how benchmarks should affect subjective evaluations: in a strict
rational-expectations formulation, well-informed rational agents would find benchmarks
ignorable because they would have imbibed sufficient outside knowledge prior to the experiment
to form a basis for an evaluation. Thus, there should be no difference across conditions in
subjective evaluations. Yet, weaker versions of a standard model could introduce a role for
benchmarks such as through search costs or Bayesian updating.17
The participation outcome provides a slightly narrower scenario to evaluate. In making
an allocation decision, participants should evaluate the fund against the guaranteed rate of return
based on expectations of the fund’s future performance and their risk preferences. However, in
17 Much research suggests that in this decision-making domain, many investors may lack knowledge consistent with the strictest models one
could consider (see, for example Scholl and Fontes, 2021).
22
the strictest rational model, the graphical stimuli should not play a role because the benchmarks
do not affect the choice that the participant is making. That is, the participant is presented only
with the choice of the risky gamble between the guaranteed rate of return and the uncertain
outcome of the fund. They do not have the opportunity to liquidate the investment amount to
pursue an outside option, and the timing of the payment will come six months after their
decisions regardless of their investment. For the graphical information to matter in a standard
economic model, participants would need to update their expectations of the fund’s performance
based on the graphical presentation, or change their risk sensitivity. For example, the graphical
presentation could change a participant’s expectations of the fund’s future volatility.
5. Empirical Results
We estimate the effects of information by regressing our outcomes of interest on
variables representing the information presented. The primary estimating equation for subjective
attractiveness ratings is:
(1) (𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴)𝑖𝑖
= 𝛽𝛽0 + 𝛽𝛽1(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏ℎ𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜)𝑖𝑖
+ 𝛽𝛽2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏ℎ𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜)𝑖𝑖 + 𝛽𝛽3(𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏ℎ𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚)𝑖𝑖
+ 𝛽𝛽4(𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔ℎ)𝑖𝑖 + 𝛽𝛽5(𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛)𝑖𝑖 + 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖
While estimation of the allocation to the fund when given an option to invest in a risk-free asset
with guaranteed return a is provided by:
(2) (𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴)𝑖𝑖,𝑎𝑎
= 𝛽𝛽0 + 𝛽𝛽1(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏ℎ𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜)𝑖𝑖
+ 𝛽𝛽2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏ℎ𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜)𝑖𝑖 + 𝛽𝛽3(𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏ℎ𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚)𝑖𝑖
+ 𝛽𝛽4(𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔ℎ)𝑖𝑖 + 𝛽𝛽5(𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛)𝑖𝑖
+ �𝛿𝛿𝑎𝑎(𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 = 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑛𝑛𝑎𝑎)𝑖𝑖,𝑎𝑎
𝑎𝑎
+ 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖,𝑎𝑎
Equation (1) is estimated using robust standard errors, whereas in equation (2), responses are
clustered by respondent, as each participant provides responses at guaranteed returns of 2, 4, and
6 percent.
We first study effects on attractiveness evaluations in the online experiment. This
variable is useful because it shows whether the interventions had any impact on study
participants’ overall impressions of the fund. We then estimate any effects in an incentive-
compatible choice, which allows us to determine if the reported subjective evaluations seep into
behavioral differences across stimulus conditions.
23
Figures 5 and 6 display point estimates and confidence intervals of participants’
subjective attractiveness ratings and allocation decisions across conditions. These plots provide
considerable intuition corresponding to formal estimates presented in Appendix E. Our research
design varies two main features vis-à-vis the base (no benchmark) condition: the relative position
and number of benchmarks, and the selection and positioning of either the broad or narrow
benchmark. The relative position focuses our attention on participants’ reaction to benchmark
performance relative to the fund. Broad vs. narrow variation enables us to examine if
participants distinguish between broad and narrow benchmarks – for example, if participants
respond differently to a broad benchmark outperforming the fund rather than a narrow
benchmark outperforming the fund. The plots group the stimuli in terms of relative position of
the benchmarks in the respective stimulus (specifically, graphs with no benchmarks, a
benchmark above the fund, a benchmark below the fund, and the fund between two
benchmarks). Where there was variation by benchmark type, we provide estimates based on
solely the relative position (“pooled”), and separate out estimates for the broad and the narrow
benchmark. This portrayal highlights the fact that participants’ responses tend to be driven more
by relative position than whether or not the benchmark presented is broad or narrow.
Figure 5. Average attractiveness evaluation by condition.
Note. This figure provides point estimates and confidence intervals of participants’ attractiveness
ratings across conditions. The five thicker confidence intervals represent averages for the
following conditions: no graph, no benchmark, single benchmark above fund, single benchmark
below fund, and two benchmarks. In contrast, the eight thinner confidence intervals represent
mean values that distinguish between broad and narrow benchmarks, as well as narrative text
(“w/ nar.”).
24
Figure 6. Average allocation to the Middlewood Fund (vs. fixed return).
Note. This figure provides point estimates and confidence intervals of participants’ allocations to
the Middlewood Materials Fund across conditions. The five thicker confidence intervals
represent averages for the following conditions: no graph, no benchmark, single benchmark
above fund, single benchmark below fund, and two benchmarks. In contrast, the eight thinner
confidence intervals represent mean values that distinguish between broad and narrow
benchmarks, as well as narrative text (“w/ nar.”).
3.1 Effects on Subjective Evaluations: Fund Attractiveness
Figure 5 provides confidence intervals across conditions for the subjective attractiveness
outcome. The figure provides evidence that benchmark presentation affected participants’
subjective evaluations of the fund. When participants received a graph depicting a single
benchmark that outperformed the fund, they provided ratings of the fund that were
approximately 8.5 points lower than participants in the excluded condition (performance graph
with “No Benchmarks”). This difference is significant at the 99.9% level. The two benchmark
conditions affected subjective evaluations in a more muted way: participants’ evaluations were
4.8 points lower than the base condition, perhaps suggesting that participants were affected both
by the reference value that outperformed and the reference index that underperformed the fund.
The two-benchmark p-value is 0.013.
In contrast to the benchmark that outperforms the Middlewood Fund, a single benchmark
that performs worse than the fund did not affect participants’ subjective ratings vis-à-vis the base
condition (p = 0.878). Results suggest that participants’ evaluations were not affected by this
graphical presentation.
Participants in the no graph condition had substantially lower subjective appraisals of the
Middlewood fund. The average participant in this condition rated the fund 19.2 points lower
than in the base condition (p < 0.001).
25
3.2 Effects on Incentivized Behavior: Allocation to Middlewood
Figure 6 illustrates that allocations were highest overall in the no benchmarks condition
and that allocations varied somewhat with the relative position of the benchmark. The figure also
highlights that participation decisions were influenced by the graphical presentation of certain
conditions, suggesting that benchmark presentation is consequential for investment decisions.
In particular, participants assigned to the single benchmark above conditions
(“Benchmark Above Fund”) exhibited significantly different participation behavior than
participants viewing benchmarks in other positions. Participants allocated an average of $779
less to the fund in this condition than they did in the no benchmark condition (p < 0.001). In
other words, after controlling for the guaranteed return offered, participants viewing a single
benchmark line outperforming the fund were more likely to allocate money into the guaranteed
return rather than invest in the fund.
In contrast, behavior in response to the pooled single benchmark below fund conditions
(“Benchmark Below Fund”) was indistinguishable from the no benchmarks condition. While the
pooled point estimate directionally indicates slightly lower participation of about $87, we cannot
reject the null of no difference with the base condition. In other words, this difference is
statistically indistinguishable from the base condition and attributable to chance variation.
Results for the “Fund between Two Benchmarks” conditions are also similar to the no
benchmark condition. Although the statistically insignificant point estimate indicates
directionally lower allocations than the base condition, there is a muted response relative to
conditions where participants view a single benchmark outperforming the fund.
Finally, the no graph condition leads to substantially lower allocation in the fund than any
of the graphical presentation conditions. Participants in this condition allocated $1,618 less to
the fund (p < 0.001).
3.3 Broad vs. Narrow Benchmarks
Figures 4 and 5 (and Appendix Table E) also break out the relative performance
conditions of the benchmark (the “pooled” results) in a way that allows us to make distinctions
between broad and narrow benchmarks. That is, these figures allow us to assess whether
participants react differently when viewing a broad benchmark versus a narrow benchmark, and
to what extent attractiveness ratings and allocations might be influenced differently by the
relative position of each. While the point estimates do differ slightly within each of the
positional conditions in the figures, these differences are not statistically significant, and there is
little evidence that participants responded differently to the hypothetical broad and narrow
Imprimiis benchmarks we constructed. Figures 4 and 5 emphasize that – at least in the
experimental set-up we have explored – the relative position of the benchmark versus the fund
appears to be much more consequential than whether the benchmark presented is narrow or
broad.
26
3.4 Subgroup Analysis
One potential mechanism for an effect of benchmarks on participants could be that high
sophistication participants might ignore the benchmarks because of outside knowledge of the
marketplace; if high sophistication participants roughly know the historical returns of stocks or a
given sector, they might essentially impose their own reference value – leading to no effect of
benchmarks in different positions. By contrast, less sophisticated investors might use the
benchmarks to provide context that would enable them to make an assessment of the
attractiveness and desirability of the fund given their lower level of familiarity with the
investment space.
Alternatively, it could be the case that sophisticated investors use benchmarks as an
indicator of relative performance because they understand that benchmarks provide context. In
contrast, less sophisticated investors might find benchmarks confusing and choose to ignore
them. In this case, we would expect a greater response to benchmarks among sophisticated (vs.
unsophisticated) investors.
3.4.1 Investor Subgroup Variable Creation
To explore whether effects on attractiveness evaluations and allocations vary by
participant characteristics, we next classify each participant into one of the following three
categories: non-investors, retirement-only investors, or independent investors. We constructed
these subgroups with the expectation that independent investors would have the highest levels of
investment sophistication and experience with regard to funds among a retail (as opposed to
institutional) investor population. Additionally, we expected that non-investors would have
lower levels of investment knowledge and experience than retirement-only investors. This
classification, and these expectations, are based on prior research that distinguishes investors’
sophistication (e.g., Chin, Scholl, and VanEpps, 2021; Scholl and Fontes, 2021).
To determine a participant’s sophistication level, we used four pre-experiment screening
questions from Chin, Scholl, and VanEpps (2021). Participants who had an employer-sponsored
retirement plan but no ability to choose among investments in the plan (as in the case of most
pensions), as well as participants who reported no investments, were classified as non-investors.
Anyone who chooses investments in their employer-sponsored retirement plan or has retirement
accounts outside of an employer-sponsored plan (e.g., an individual retirement account), but no
other stock, bond, mutual fund or ETF investments outside of a retirement account, was
classified as a “retirement-only” investor. Finally, anyone who reported having investments in
stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or other securities outside of a retirement account (e.g. in a
brokerage account, or in actual stock certificates) was considered an “independent” investor.
This last group likely includes respondents with a retirement account as well. Ultimately, these
classifications are imperfect proxies of investment experience, but we believe this classification
helps to contextualize participants’ level of investment experience and fund knowledge.
27
To provide additional context on the three subgroups, Table 3 shows the breakdown of
four variables we might expect to correlate with investor sophistication: (1) the deviation
between beliefs about historical stock market performance (measured by the S&P 500 index) and
actual performance; (2) beliefs about how various sectors performed relative to the overall US
stock market (better/worse/about the same/I don’t know) – this variable is the count of the
number of sectors with relative performances that the respondent answered correctly out of 3
sectors; (3) mutual fund literacy, as assessed by a validated scale developed in prior research
(Scholl and Fontes, 2022); and (4) responses to Ipsos’ profile questions about whether the
respondent owns mutual funds or ETFs. As shown in the table, all four of these variables
provide a consistent pattern between subgroups. Non-investors are the least sophisticated, as
they have the most inaccurate beliefs, lowest mutual fund literacy, and lowest levels of fund
ownership. Note that about 5% of our “Non-Investors” report owning mutual funds or ETFs –
the difference here largely reflects data previously collected by Ipsos and questions we asked
directly in our survey. “Independent” investors have the highest levels of sophistication, and
retirement-only investors fall in between. We now proceed to examine responses to the
experiment by these subgroups.
Table 3. Measures of investor sophistication by subgroup.
Full
Sample
Independent
Investor
Retirement
Only
Investor
Non-
Investor
Difference between true stock market
return and return belief (ppt.)
11.3
(15.3)
8.3
(13.5)
10.3
(13.2)
16.5
(17.7)
Sector performance score (0-3) 1.21
(0.89)
1.41
(0.84)
1.19
(0.89)
0.94
(0.89)
Mutual fund literacy score (0-11) 4.32
(3.06)
5.68
(2.85)
4.10
(2.82)
2.56
(2.53)
Whether respondent owns mutual
fund(s) or ETF(s)
0.417
(0.493)
0.698
(0.459)
0.363
(0.481)
0.0573
(0.232)
Note. Means and (standard deviations) shown.
3.4.2 Attractiveness Evaluations by Investor Subgroup
Figure 7 and Table 4 provide subgroup estimates based on investor status. They paint a
surprisingly different story than the proposition that more sophisticated individuals are less
responsive to benchmarks. Instead, there is evidence that the most sophisticated are the most
responsive. Non-investors (Column 3 of Table 4, and Figure 6) demonstrate no differential
reaction in Attractiveness score to any of the positional conditions – in the graphical
presentation, this group clearly does not assign differential ratings based on their condition.
Retirement-only investors (Column 2), exhibit a small, marginally significant decrease in
28
Attractiveness score of about 5.9 points to having a benchmark above the fund. Yet, independent
investors (Column 1) respond differentially based on performance presentation. Independent
investors’ ratings of fund attractiveness decrease by 14.7 and 7.7 points in the “Benchmark
above fund” conditions and the two benchmarks conditions, respectively. As per Figure 6, there
is little evidence that participants varied systematically in their evaluations for broad and narrow
benchmarks although retirement-only investors differentiated within the two benchmark
condition based on whether the narrow benchmark was above or below the fund.
Figure 7. Attractiveness evaluations by investor subgroups.
Note. Figure presents group means for each investor subgroup and corresponding 95%
confidence intervals.
Table 4. Fund attractiveness by investor subgroup.
Baseline Independent
Investors
Retirement-
Only Investors Non-Investors
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No graph, no benchmarks -19.167*** -21.770*** -16.911*** -16.934***
(1.667) (2.350) (3.415) (3.155)
Single benchmark above
fund
-8.574*** -14.70*** -5.892* -1.741
(1.474) (2.030) (3.122) (2.798)
Single benchmark below
fund
0.220 -0.311 3.904 -2.293
(1.426) (1.903) (2.952) (2.809)
Two benchmarks -4.781** -7.674*** -1.014 -3.823
(1.921) (2.584) (3.941) (3.869)
Any narrative 0.045 0.0976 -0.167 0.952
(1.838) (2.547) (3.795) (3.613)
Constant 65.036*** 69.195*** 63.985*** 59.857***
(1.165) (1.547) (2.487) (2.262)
Observations 4,226 1,906 998 1,322
R2 0.047 0.077 0.052 0.029
29
Adjusted R2 0.046 0.075 0.047 0.026
Note. Robust standard errors in parenthesis. *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
3.4.3 Allocation Decisions by Investor Subgroup
In terms of allocation behavior, Figure 8 and Table 5 suggest a similar pattern to those on
evaluations, with some subtle differences. Table 5 Column (4) suggests that the only effect of
presentation differences for non-investors came from the comparison between the reference case
(a graph with fund performance and no benchmarks), and the No Graph condition. All other
presentations did not differ significantly from the no benchmark condition.
In contrast, the purportedly more sophisticated participants, retirement-only and
independent investors, allocate substantially less to the Middlewood Fund in the single
benchmark above condition. For retirement-only investors, this difference amounts to $1,063 on
average across the three guaranteed returns, while for the independent investors it amounts to
$725 less. Curiously, some of the directional values of the non-statistically significant
coefficients are somewhat at odds with results reported above; for example, retirement-only
investors and non-investors allocated less on average in the single benchmark below condition.
As with evaluations, there is little evidence in Figure 8 that participants differentially responded
to broad or narrow conditions – rather, the primary driver appears to have been the relative
position of the benchmark line.
Overall, the implication is that more sophisticated participants have higher
responsiveness to differential benchmark presentations than their less sophisticated peers who
may not have sufficient context or understanding to make use of the benchmarks.
Figure 8. Allocation decisions by subgroup.
Note. Figure presents group means for each investor subgroup and corresponding 95%
confidence intervals.
30
Table 5. Allocation decisions by investor subgroup.
Baseline Independent
Investors
Retirement-Only
Investors Non-Investors
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No graph, no
benchmarks
-1,618.666*** -1,753.034*** -1,523.308*** -1,481.129***
(275.457) (385.088) (542.812) (543.131)
Single benchmark
above fund
-779.103*** -725.064** -1,063.698** -646.958
(230.886) (316.964) (457.308) (466.586)
Single benchmark
below fund
-87.487 108.297 -555.092 -16.575
(226.954) (313.473) (438.587) (461.706)
Two benchmarks -375.079 -371.769 -208.001 -552.441
(322.007) (445.992) (609.480) (666.342)
Any narrative 414.313 573.179 -149.772 661.922
(313.927) (436.409) (615.946) (633.289)
Guaranteed Return of
4%
-1,341.813*** -1,686.459*** -1,303.103*** -871.129***
(44.847) (66.958) (89.822) (79.773)
Guaranteed Return of
6%
-2,512.655*** -3,273.571*** -2,468.919*** -1,438.529***
(63.700) (97.854) (125.968) (105.040)
Constant 10,992.060*** 11,588.230*** 10,981.330*** 10,129.840***
(186.073) (255.915) (357.443) (379.951)
Observations 12,434 5,629 2,944 3,861
R2 0.054 0.093 0.052 0.022
Adjusted R2 0.053 0.090 0.046 0.017
Note. Robust standard errors clustered by participant in parenthesis. *p<0.1; **p<0.05;
***p<0.01
3.5 Deviations from expected utility maximizing allocations
We now explore by how much allocations differ from the allocations that would
maximize expected utility given the participants’ beliefs about the Middlewood fund’s future
returns. We assume that participants have utility functions that exhibit constant relative risk
aversion (CRRA) and infer their coefficient of risk aversion from a survey question.18 We then
find each participant’s expected utility maximizing allocation by numerically integrating
expected utility given their coefficient of risk aversion and the fitted distribution for their beliefs
(as described above) for each possible allocation from zero to $15,000 in one dollar increments.
The utility maximizing allocation is the value that maximizes this grid search. Since the survey
question provides us with a range for the coefficient of relative risk aversion, we calculate a
range of utility maximizing allocations. We record the deviation from the utility maximizing
18 In the survey, we elicit CRRA by asking participants to choose between one of eight lotteries, varying from the least risky, which pays $1.60
for sure, to most risky, which offers a 50% chance at $4.40. The inferred coefficients of relative risk aversion, denoted as r, for these lotteries are:
for lottery 1, 3.9437 < r; for lottery 2, 1.3199 < r < 3.9437; for lottery 3, 0.8052 < r < 1.3199; for lottery 4, 0.5748 < r < 0.8052; for lottery 5,
0.4375 < r < 0.5748; for lottery 6, 0.3404 < r < 0.4375; for lottery 7, 0 < r < 0.3404; for lottery 8, r < 0.
31
allocation as zero if the allocation falls in the range and as the minimum distance to the range if
it falls outside of it.
With this approach, the distance from the utility maximizing allocation is thus driven by
the participant’s allocation to the fund and the participant’s beliefs about the fund’s future
returns. To understand changes in beliefs, we first present Figure 8, which displays the mean of
the fitted distributions for beliefs by investor type.19 Overall, Figure 8 demonstrates that non-
investors have less responsive beliefs and exhibit more variation in their responses. However, the
more surprising overall pattern is that expectations – meaning participants’ projections of actual
future performance of the fund – are largely unaffected by condition. Statistical tests only find a
significant difference between the single above and single below conditions (diff=-2.19, p-
value=0.01). We thus find limited evidence that expectations update, but strong evidence that
allocation varies by condition.20
Figure 8. Expected return beliefs by investor type subgroups.
Note. Figure presents group means for each investor subgroup and corresponding 95%
confidence intervals.
Moving on to modeled utility maximizing allocations, the first column of Table 6
presents results from regressing the deviations from the utility maximizing allocation on the
19 Specifically, the survey captured beliefs about the Middlewood Materials Fund’s return over the next six months by asking participants to
assign probabilities across six bins corresponding to different ranges of returns. Using these assigned probabilities over bins, we fit probability
distributions to model their beliefs following Engelberg, Manksi, and William (2009). Engelberg, Manksi, and William fit the parameters of a
unimodal distribution, either generalized beta or isosceles triangle depending on the number of bins that were covered, to match the probabilities
that were reported in bins. A small percentage of participants (two percent) reported beliefs that cover non-adjacent bins, for example a .5
probability that returns are between 10 and 20% and a .5 probability that they are 30% or more. Engelberg, Manksi, and William do not discuss
the probability distribution for this situation of non-adjacent bins, as no participants in their sample report beliefs like this. We use a piece-wise
uniform distribution, which evenly distributes the probability over the interval to which it was assigned.
20 One possibility is that our expectations elicitation bin sizes are too wide to pick up expectations movements.
32
benchmark presentation (single above, single below, two benchmarks, and no graph). The
smallest deviation from utility maximization is found when the performance graph is presented
with no benchmarks. The greatest deviation is for the condition that did not see a graph ($1,068
less than the condition that saw a graph without benchmarks), which had the lowest allocations
but beliefs that were similar to the condition without benchmarks. The deviations for
presentations with a benchmark under- and over-performing the fund are similar ($759 and $831
less than the condition without benchmarks, respectively).
When separating the participants by investor status in columns (2) through (4) of Table 6,
we see that non-investors exhibited a general reluctance to invest, allocating too little to the fund
given their beliefs, but this under-investment does not vary much by condition. This is
unsurprising given that this group allocated far less to the Middlewood Materials Fund in every
condition. Independent investors had allocations that more closely matched their utility
maximizing allocations. Even though beliefs for independent investors varied more by condition,
their allocations to the fund are largely consistent with these beliefs (with the exception of
allocations in the condition that did not see a performance graph).
Table 6. Regression Results for Distance from Optimal Allocations.
Baseline Independent
Investors
Retirement-Only
Investors
Non-Investors
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No graph, no
benchmarks
-1,067.980** -1,224.721** -668.059 -1,022.091
(418.894) (593.795) (869.752) (793.313)
Single
benchmark
above fund
-831.184** -717.906 -508.820 -1,329.345**
(346.666) (471.920) (759.599) (661.779)
Single
benchmark
below fund
-759.209** -795.477* -265.554 -1,131.076*
(345.584) (472.269) (752.373) (660.529)
Two
benchmarks
-257.692 -344.906 405.507 -757.452
(484.292) (675.251) (1,040.035) (912.423)
Any narrative -381.058 14.505 -952.807 -363.975
(468.577) (670.241) (983.290) (862.567)
Constant -61.357 574.511 -669.159 -597.996
(279.064) (379.069) (618.915) (529.677)
Observations 11,490 5,376 2,783 3,331
R2 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.004
Adjusted R2 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.002
Note. Standard errors clustered by participant in parenthesis. *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
33
3.6 Search Effort
As discussed in the introduction, researchers examining mutual fund choice often discuss
the search costs associated with finding a fund. After viewing the benchmark presentation and
providing subjective ratings (prior to allocation and expectations elicitation tasks), respondents
were asked about potential search behavior. The elicitation question was: “Let’s say you had 60
minutes to spare. How much of it would you spend researching the Middlewood Materials Fund,
searching for other funds, or doing something else (like watching TV)?” Respondents allocated
60 minutes to search for more information about the Middlewood fund, search for other funds, or
doing something else – to reduce error, “doing something else” was automatically computed as
the residual of the other two values.
One pathway through which benchmarks could affect evaluations and allocation
decisions is through search costs. With an appropriately chosen benchmark that approximates
true performance in the sector (e.g. a sector average or factor model) it is conceivable that
investors could reference the benchmark as a means of evaluating past performance of the fund.
Under this framework, both low and high sophistication investors could use a benchmark as a
shorthand to avoid costly search activities. They would also not have to construct their own
reference or comparison points.
Table 7 presents results of self-declared search effort. The only condition that differs
from the baseline no benchmark condition is the single benchmark above condition. In this
condition, participants reduced search on the Middlewood Materials Fund by about 2.6 minutes,
and increased search for other options by about 1.7 minutes. All other conditions yielded no
differences in the level of search, relative to the condition where the fund performance, but no
benchmarks were shown.
Table 7. Regression Results for Self-Reported Search Effort by Experimental Condition.
Middlewood Info Other Options
(1) (2)
No graph, no benchmarks -0.828 -0.434
(1.048) (0.811)
Single benchmark above fund -2.582*** 1.666**
(0.842) (0.688)
Single benchmark below fund -1.459* 0.713
(0.847) (0.672)
Two benchmarks -0.939 1.196
(1.147) (0.925)
Any narrative -0.406 0.119
(1.088) (0.905)
Constant 21.389*** 14.260***
(0.701) (0.545)
Observations 4,196 4,196
34
R2 0.003 0.003
Adjusted R2 0.002 0.002
Note. Robust standard errors shown in parentheses. *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
On one hand, the changes in search for the “benchmark above” condition are somewhat
consistent with a search cost role for benchmarks in that there is some difference in search
behavior. Yet, this pattern is not fully consistent with that view. A single benchmark
outperforming the fund appears to signal to participants that they could find better investment
performance elsewhere. However, the need for increased search effort dissipates in the two
benchmark case, even though the graph continues to display investment options with superior
historical performance. In this condition, the lack of change in search behavior suggests that
having intermediate performance may be “good enough” for participants. Possibly, the presence
of a benchmark below (either in the single benchmark case or in the two benchmark sandwich
case we pursue) is sufficient to forestall motivation to search.
The issue of the intention to search seems especially important in the context of funds’
discretion over benchmarks. A carefully selected benchmark might encourage investors to stop
looking further.21 Moreover, many investors may be effectively defaulted into a shortlist of funds
based on retirement plan menus and other menus. With such a shortlist, a fund outperforming its
benchmark may be sufficient information for the investor to select it, not knowing, or not fully
factoring in, that the benchmark itself may have been selected for that particular effect. We
further explore benchmark choice in Section 7 below.
6. Survey Responses by Investor Subgroup
Our survey instrument collected additional information intended to produce nationally
representative survey responses. Figure 9 provides survey responses to a question about
participant preferences for a graph with one or two benchmarks. This data was collected by
asking questions that allowed us to credibly determine preferences (beginning with a single
preference question; additional follow-ups allowed participants to express a desire for additional
information). Regardless of investor status, participants overwhelmingly expressed a preference
for a graph with both narrow and broad benchmarks. This result can add context to the evidence
arising from the experimental analysis described above.
21 Scholl, Silverman and Enriquez (2021) develop such a model.
35
Figure 9. Preferences for benchmarks.
Note. Bars denote +/- 1 standard error.
As mentioned in the Introduction (Section 1), there are different ways in which
benchmarks may, or may not, affect investor decision-making. Given differences in behavior
between investors of different levels of sophistication, in Figure 10 we also present agreement
with different survey items answered by our participants. Specifically, the figure shows average
agreement to each of nine statements for participants in each of the investor subgroups.22
Conceptually, these statements are grouped into four categories, as reflected in the subpanels of
the figure.
First, we assessed mistaken beliefs about benchmarks, as derived from our qualitative
pilot. We asked whether the Middlewood Materials Fund would always have performance
between the two benchmarks, whether the indexes were competitors to the Middlewood
Materials Fund, whether the lower benchmark in the graph is included in the Middlewood
Materials Fund, and whether the hypothetical materials index provides the average of
investments in that sector (top panel of Figure 10). As shown, participants did not strongly agree
with these statements, as the midpoint of the response scale was 3. Where there are differences
between groups, however, non-investors tended to agree more with the statements that
participants with higher investment sophistication.
22 We expected and found no differences in beliefs by experimental treatment.
36
The second panel describes beliefs about the graphs shown in the study. Perhaps
surprisingly, relatively sophisticated “independent” investors were the most likely to agree that
the graph was a reliable source of information, and least likely to agree that it was designed to
make the fund “look good.” It is possible that these participants are more familiar with
performance graphs and more willing to trust the information provided.
The third panel shows beliefs about how useful it is to compare the Middlewood
Materials Fund to the hypothetical Imprimiis Indexes. As with the immediately preceding panel,
there are differences by investor group; investors that are more sophisticated find the indexes
more useful.
Finally, the last panel asks participants to state how important it is that the benchmarks
represent average performance. Overall, participants agree with this statement as responses for
all groups are above the midpoint of the scale. Additionally, more sophisticated investors tend to
agree more.
Looking across the survey results, we conclude that the patterns of responses are largely
consistent with the results of our behavioral experiment. In particular, non-investors, who are
more confused by benchmarks (panel 1), trust the graphs less (panel 2), and find the benchmark
comparisons less useful (panel 3), also respond less to benchmarks in the experiment than more
sophisticated respondents (Section 5).
37
Figure 10. Survey items by investor subgroup.
Note. This figure shows averages by investor group. Bars denote +/- 1 standard error.
38
7. Analysis of Benchmark Performance Data
Thus far, we have described the frequency of benchmarks in mutual funds, and
demonstrated experimentally that fund performance relative to a benchmark can affect
evaluations and investment decisions. To complement these findings, we now return to a
description of benchmarks that currently exist in the mutual fund industry. We ask: Does
benchmark “fit” appear to vary with funds’ choices of benchmarks?
Following a similar methodology to that used in Sensoy (2009) to identify benchmarks
that match the fund’s exposure to market-level fluctuations that are beyond the fund’s control
(i.e., market factors), for each fund we run regressions of funds returns on the returns of their
benchmark. We use the average R-squared across the models as metric for benchmark fit.23 The
overall idea is that the benchmark with the most similar exposure to market factors as the fund
will have returns that are the most highly correlated with the fund’s.
Average R-squared values are displayed below in row 6 of Table 8 for primary and
secondary benchmarks. In every sector, we find these values look similar between the primary
and secondary benchmarks, with the average R-squared for primary benchmarks across all
sectors similar to the average for secondary benchmarks (and in some sectors, the average R-
squared is greater for primary benchmarks than secondary). This is surprising given that the
justification for including secondary benchmarks is often to provide a more apples-to-apples
comparison to the fund. On average, the primary benchmarks have exposure to factors that is
more similar to the fund than the secondary benchmarks.
To further explore benchmark fit, we use Fama-French three-factor models. The
traditional model seeks to capture performance based on three factors: the overall return on the
market relative to the risk-free rate, the size of firms (SMB or “small minus big”) and book-to-
market values (HML or “high minus low”). Here, again following methodology in Sensory
(2009), we examine the differences in performance between a fund and its benchmarks by
implementing the following models separately for primary and secondary benchmarks for each
fund:
Ri,t – RBench,i,t = αi +βi(RM,t – Rf,t) + siSMBt + hiHMLt + ei,t
Where Ri,t is fund i’s return in month t and RBench,i,t is the return of fund i’s benchmark in month
t. Our factor loadings quantify the extent to which performance differences between funds and
their benchmarks can be explained by differences in exposure to these three factors. Similar to
the logic used above, if a benchmark is a poor comparison, we would expect that deviations in
the factors would be more prevalent. As such, we calculate the frequency of statistically
significant deviations in factor loadings across all primary and secondary benchmarks, and
23 R-squared values range from 0 to 1, with 0 representing a case in which none of the variance in the dependent variable (in this case, the fund
performance) is explained by the variance in the independent variable (in this case, benchmark performance).
39
compare the rates for the two types. Funds with complete returns data for the fund and the funds
respective benchmarks from beginning of 2017 to the end of 2019 are included.
In Table 8 rows 7 - 10 we show the percentage of funds which have statistically
significant (α = 0.05) differences in either direction in loadings between the fund and their
benchmark for each of the three factors, split by sector and by primary and secondary
benchmark. These results suggest that deviations between funds and their benchmarks in terms
of Fama-French factors are common. With only a few exceptions, more than 50% of funds have
differences in loadings across all three factors, when compared to both their primary and
secondary benchmarks. Often this proportion is three quarters of funds or more. Additionally, in
nearly every sector we find that the proportion of funds with significant differences in loadings
with their secondary benchmarks is as high as or higher than the proportion for primary
benchmark, when considering all three factors together.
In sum, little can be found in either of the two preceding lines of analysis to support a
characterization of secondary benchmarks as being more informative about the fund’s risk-
adjusted returns (by better matching the fund’s exposure to market factors) on average than
primary benchmarks.40
Table 8. Benchmark summaries by sector.
Note: All statistics using returns are calculated with 3 years of data from 2017 through 2019.
41
8. General Discussion
8.1 Summary of Findings
This study examined the use of benchmarks by mutual funds using a large and
comprehensive dataset of funds in 12 sectors, and the reaction of individuals to various
benchmark presentations in a large-scale experiment. Our results suggest wide variation in the
way that funds use benchmarks and also that many individuals react quite strongly to different
benchmark presentations. In our preliminary review of markets data, we document that:
• There are a relatively large number of benchmarks in use in each fund category, with
some fund categories employing nearly two dozen primary benchmarks and over three
dozen secondary benchmarks.
• Many funds (about 2/3 to 4/5 of funds in each sector we considered) did not choose to
present a second benchmark.
• There is substantial variation in the performance of benchmarks that are employed within
a sector. In particular, 10-year cumulative returns show performance return differentials
among the benchmarks used within some sectors of over 400%. This variation makes it
difficult to understand how reliable these benchmarks are as a reference point for fund
performance.
• Some funds use extremely rare benchmarks (4.5%). Within the 12 sectors we reviewed,
each sector tended to have between 2 and 13 benchmarks used by only one fund.
• We observed many different types of benchmark choices. For example, we found some
examples of equity funds that use an equity index and a bond index as benchmarks. These
observations highlight some of the variability in funds’ benchmark choices.
• The definitions of broad and narrow benchmarks appear to be the subject of some
interpretation. Although we do not assess the appropriateness of benchmark selection,
we provide data that contextualizes benchmark appropriateness. The most common
benchmark used is the S&P 500 Total Return Index, which about a quarter of funds
select. In our data, only about half of funds present at least one benchmark that has a
correlation with the S&P 500 Index of 0.95 or above.
Our qualitative research provided some interesting insights that set the stage for our
quantitative experimental study, although these results are based on a small sample and not
conclusive on their own. Our qualitative study provided preliminary evidence that:
• Investors may react to variations in the visual presentation of the relative position of
funds and their benchmarks. This initial observation is difficult to contextualize in most
economic models.
• Investors have different reference points for contextualizing fund fees.
42
Our experimental results built on these initial qualitative and market data observations
and yielded extremely interesting conclusions. We developed a sophisticated, yet elegant
research design that focused on a two-benchmark “sandwich case” in which one benchmark
outperforms the fund and one benchmark is outperformed by the fund – one condition in which
the broad benchmark outperformed the narrow and one where the narrow outperformed the
broad benchmark. We created other conditions based on those two-benchmark conditions by
removing one or both benchmark reference lines; a no-graph condition enabled us to understand
the effect of benchmark presentation on expectations of future fund performance. Our primary
outcomes of interest were subjective ratings of fund attractiveness and an incentivized
investment participation outcome. Our design allowed us to study the role of the relative
position of benchmarks, the number of benchmarks (zero, one or two), the benefits of an
explanatory text defining the benchmarks that are used, and the relative impact of broad versus
narrow benchmarks. We also were able to use our design to study the differential impact at
different sophistication levels, the expectations formation process, and the effect of benchmark
presentations on optimal allocation decisions.
Overall, there is substantial variation in the between-subjects responses for both
outcomes of interest, both between and across conditions. Specifically, we observed:
• Fund attractiveness and incentivized allocation amounts were lower in the condition
presenting a single benchmark above the fund. In the two benchmarks condition (one
benchmark outperforming and one benchmark underperforming the fund) this effect was
present, but more muted: a smaller decrease versus the baseline condition (graph, no
benchmark), and a reduction in the statistical significance level of difference with the
baseline condition (the incentivized allocation was not statistically different). The
benchmark below the fund did not result in statistically different allocations or
attractiveness vis-à-vis our baseline condition.
• Although many respondents gave survey responses that suggested they were inclined to
regard the benchmarks as marketing devices selected in order to show the fund in a
valuable light, rather than as a decision-viable reference tool, we do not find evidence
that participants entirely disregarded benchmarks. At the same time, participants reacted
in their attractiveness ratings most strongly (negatively) to a benchmark presentation
where at least one benchmark outperformed the fund, and individuals indicated a higher
interest in searching for alternatives to the Middlewood Materials Fund when a single
benchmark outperformed the fund.
• We observe that sophistication matters for participants’ reactions to benchmarks, but it
matters in a way that is quite different than most economic models would assume and
much of regulatory theory seems to be grounded on. Our results suggest that the most
sophisticated participants were more reactive to benchmark presentations than lower
sophistication participants.
43
• We do not find evidence supporting the notion that participants believed that the narrow
benchmark is a better reference point than the broad benchmark. In fact, participants in
our study did not react differently to the broad and narrow benchmarks.
• We did not find evidence that the textual clarifications of benchmarks improved investor
comprehension or altered fund attractiveness ratings or participation decisions. They also
did not alter the (non-)distinction that study participants made between broad and narrow
benchmarks.
• The no graph condition had substantially lower ratings of attractiveness and lower
investment rates in our allocation task. This is not surprising in our experimental context
because we provided very little information to participants. This condition was not so
much added as a control condition, but rather as a way to better understand if and how
benchmark presentations affected expectations formation.
• In our setup, expectations would seem to provide a key role in many economic
frameworks in how benchmark presentation affects incentivized decisions and, to a lesser
extent, attractiveness ratings. Expectations of future fund performance varied slightly by
experimental condition, in contrast with most standard economic models. The effect is
muted when comparing to our baseline condition (graph with no benchmarks), but the
single benchmark above the fund and single benchmark below the fund conditions do
result in statistically significantly different expectations of future fund performance.
• We used a simple economic model to assess the extent to which a particular condition
resulted in a deviation from the expected utility-maximizing allocation in our
incentivized allocation task. We observed that, overall, two conditions resulted in a
distortion from the optimal allocation. These were the single benchmark above
(outperforming) the fund, and the single benchmark below (underperforming) the fund.
These conditions led to a respective increase (benchmark below) or decrease (benchmark
above) in expected future returns for the fund, which mechanically altered the optimal
allocation in each of these conditions, but overall led to a distortion in which a lower than
optimal amount was allocated in both cases by a statistically significant amount close to
$800. Because of the increase (decrease) in expected returns in the single benchmark
below (above) condition, our simple model increased (decreased) the required investment
amount for utility maximization; in the end, we observed that both conditions distorted
allocation from the utility maximization allocation in a similar amount. Of course, the
fact that these conditions changed expectations might itself be a source of welfare loss.
Our examination of these results by subgroup suggests that much of this is driven by non-
investors, but also that independent investors’ optimal allocations are also at least
marginally affected by some of the single benchmark conditions.
In Section 7 we returned to the markets data to provide additional context to the
experiment and the earlier market results. Our work provided new insights into the relationship
of funds and their benchmarks and context to the argument that the narrow, or secondary,
benchmark is a better benchmark than the broad-based market benchmark that funds are required
to use. We observed that:
44
• There is very little support in our analysis for the claim that secondary benchmarks
currently used by funds provide a more relevant comparison for investors than primary
benchmarks that funds use (recall that, in our analyses, we analyzed funds with two
benchmarks and classified benchmarks as “secondary” when they had a lower correlation
to the S&P 500 Index). We examined the markets data in two ways, with the goal of
understanding the “fit” between fund performance and benchmark performance. In
particular, our first analysis compared the average R2 from a simple regression of fund
performance on the primary benchmark and a separate regression on the secondary
benchmark. The average values differ slightly in some sectors, but overall we do not find
that the secondary benchmark is a better fit than the primary benchmark in the sense that
more variance in fund performance was explained. In fact, in most cases the secondary
fits the fund’s performance about as well as the primary benchmark, and actually tends to
fit worse than the primary in the majority of sectors we examined. Our second analysis
fit a Fama-French factor model to determine whether there was significantly different fit
in factor loadings. These estimates exhibited some differences between the primary and
the secondary benchmarks, but did not lead to a consistent observation that the secondary
benchmarks are a better fit to fund performance than the primary benchmarks.
• The sandwich case positioning of benchmarks and funds in our experimental conditions
may appear a special situation, but in reality, the experimental conditions we created
represent a large fraction of presentation conditions experienced in the wild. In each of
the 12 sectors we studied, our presentation cases represented as few as 60 percent of
funds in the sector and as many of 76 percent of funds in the sector.
8.2 Limitations
Our work, as any research, is not without limitations. Perhaps the biggest limitation is
that, for our particular experiment, we had to choose stimuli that were able to be digested by
participants rapidly and that would reflect theoretically interesting variation. Future work may
extend our results by studying a broader range of benchmarks and performance histories for
different hypothetical funds, as well as alternatives to the 10-year cumulative performance line
graph that we examined.
8.3 Conclusion
Considerable research suggests that investors prioritize information on investment
performance and use it to make decisions that may affect their ability to meet their financial
goals and achieve financial well-being. As such, understanding reactions to performance
information, and comparative benchmark information that is required to accompany performance
disclosures, is critical. Using a novel, large-scale experiment with a national sample, as well as
in-depth analysis of real-world benchmark use, we have presented a comprehensive set of
findings on how funds use benchmarks and how investors may react to them.
45
More broadly, past work has argued that mandatory disclosures should be tested with
consumers to ensure that communication objectives (e.g., awareness, comprehension) are
achieved (Kozup et al., 2012). As such, we contribute to debates that raise questions about
consumers’ knowledge of financial products and what consumers can learn from disclosures
(e.g., CFPB, 2020; Chin and Bruine de Bruin, 2019; Chin, Scholl, and VanEpps, 2021; Hogarth
and Merry, 2011; Kleimann, 2013; Lacko and Pappalardo, 2010; Scholl, Craig, and Chin, 2022).
We hope these findings are used to better understand investor decision-making processes,
support investor protection efforts, and welfare.
46
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Appendices
Appendix A. Additional Figures on Performance Variation
This section contains additional spaghetti plots showing variation in benchmark performance
over a 10-year period. These figures are analogous to Figure 3 in the manuscript.
52
53
54
55
56
57
Appendix B. Additional Information on Qualitative Pilot
This appendix contains additional detail on the 16 qualitative interviews that we
conducted as part of the pilot testing for the testing described in this report. The primary purpose
of the interviews was to gather preliminary information and generate ideas that would inform
subsequent quantitative testing. We asked interview participants to comment on a mock-up of a
fund’s annual shareholders report, point out areas of interest and confusion, and react to
information we presented.
As described in the manuscript, we showed participants four performance graphs. The
figure immediately below (Figure A1) shows the first performance graph used in the qualitative
interviews, whereas the second figure (Figure A2) shows the fourth and final performance graph
used in the qualitative interviews, including the accompanying narrative text explaining the
meaning of the benchmark lines.
Figure B.1. Initial performance graph shown in qualitative interviews.
58
Figure B.2. Final performance graph shown in qualitative interviews.
As noted above, the interviews were designed for idea generation; with a small sample of
16 respondents, any conclusions are necessarily tentative and preliminary, and would benefit
from follow-up testing with a larger sample (a methodology recommended in, for example,
Morgan et al. 2001). In particular, based on our analysis of the interviews, the research team
recommends additional research devoted to the following potential issues:
1. Subjective evaluations of funds’ cost: Participants’ impressions of the relative cost of a
fund varied. Some participants had ways of judging expenses that make them vulnerable
to overpaying. For instance, some participants reported rules of thumb that referenced
past jobs in sales, or discrete fee cutoffs.
2. Mutual fund share classes: Multiple participants stated they had “no idea” or “did not
know” what share classes meant (among others, Male, age 44 and Female, age 66). To
the extent that share classes are a necessary component of other disclosures, future
research should explore ways of explaining share classes to investors.
59
3. Clarifying the role of the shareholder report: Some participants expressed a lack of
understanding of what to do with some of the information and how to use it most
effectively for decision-making.60
Appendix C. Additional Detail on Experimental Stimuli
The stimuli for the experiment were generated from actual indexes. We identified broad-
based and industrial indexes with similar average annual returns. One pair of broad-based and
industrial indexes had an average monthly return of around 1.3% and another pair had an average
monthly return of just under 1%. We averaged the pair with the higher monthly return to create
our high benchmark and average the lower pair to create the low benchmark. We chose to
average these indexes so that the resulting indexes could plausibly serve as both a narrow index
for the industrial sector and a broad-based index. We created the Middlewood Materials Fund by
averaging the high and low benchmarks, to ensure that it would be in between them.
Full set of graphs shown
Narrow Above, Broad Below Conditions Narrow Below, Broad Above Conditions
61
No Benchmark Conditions
(No graph condition does not display a graph)
62
Appendix D. Assignment to Treatment
We examine assignment to treatment conditional on finishing the survey, following the
procedure described in Kuziemko, Norton, Saez, and Stantcheva (2015). Specifically, we
estimate multinomial logit regressions of the form:
𝑃𝑃(𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 = 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑎𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑖𝑖) =
𝑒𝑒𝛼𝛼𝑖𝑖+𝛽𝛽𝑖𝑖𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶+𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖
∑ 𝑒𝑒𝛼𝛼𝑗𝑗+𝛽𝛽𝑗𝑗𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶+𝜀𝜀𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 ∈ 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇
where Covariate represents one of the variables shown in the table, and i and j represent one of
the eight treatments (Condition 1 is our base treatment, so a coefficient is not estimated for
Condition 1). Across the coefficients, only 4 had a p-value significant at the 5% level – that is to
say, 5.7% (= 4/70) of coefficients were significant at the 5% level. Therefore, we need not be
very concerned that the 25 covariates we consider correlate with assignment to treatment
conditional on finishing the survey.
Table D.1. Ability of covariates to predict treatment condition
p-values for condition
Variable 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Age 0.327 0.0658 0.672 0.0724 0.0925 0.236 0.266
White Non-Hispanic 0.727 0.519 0.767 0.203 0.306 0.0484 0.206
Black Non-Hispanic 0.974 0.0475 0.196 0.0809 0.0152 0.050 0.0862
Other Non-Hispanic 0.333 0.345 0.105 0.239 0.723 0.901 0.514
Hispanic 0.986 0.628 0.106 0.182 0.490 0.418 0.987
Two or More Races 0.787 0.736 0.0858 0.249 0.885 0.854 0.631
Male 0.633 0.924 0.715 0.947 0.359 0.222 0.446
Income in $1000s (based
from bin midpoints)
0.0952 0.189 0.460 0.780 0.411 0.195 0.438
Mutual Fund Literacy
score
0.182 0.886 0.451 0.840 0.701 0.448 0.806
Eckel-Grossman Lottery
Choice
0.464 0.340 0.110 0.357 0.913 0.227 0.493
63
Appendix E. Supplementary Regression Tables
Table E.1. Regressions of fund attractiveness and allocations to the fund
Attractiveness Allocation
(1) (2)
No Graph -19.167*** -1618.667***
(1.667) (275.457)
Single benchmark above
fund
-8.574*** -779.103***
(1.474) (230.886)
Single benchmark below
fund
0.220 -87.487
(1.426) (226.954)
Two benchmarks -4.781** -375.079
(1.921) (322.007)
Any narrative 0.045 414.313
(1.838) (313.927)
Guaranteed Return of
4%
-1341.813***
(44.847)
Guaranteed Return of
6%
-2512.655***
(63.700)
Constant 65.036*** 10992.060***
(1.165) (186.073)
Observations 4,226 12,434
R2 0.047 0.054
Adjusted R2 0.046 0.054
* p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01. Robust standard errors are used for the evaluation regression and standard errors
for the allocation regressions are clustered at the participant level.
64
Table E.2. Regressions of fund attractiveness and allocations to the fund using all eight
experimental conditions
Attractiveness Allocation
(1) (2)
No graph -19.167*** -1,618.666***
(1.668) (275.491)
Single benchmark above fund
(broad)
-8.044*** -669.426**
(1.750) (275.811)
Single benchmark above fund
(narrow)
-9.074*** -881.089***
(1.710) (264.421)
Single benchmark below fund
(broad)
0.009 -30.150
(1.629) (262.498)
Single benchmark below fund
(narrow)
0.433 -145.668
(1.665) (263.764)
Two benchmarks with narrow above -3.272 -449.084
(2.106) (352.495)
Two benchmarks with broad above -6.270*** -303.052
(2.091) (351.771)
Any narrative 0.038 415.449
(1.835) (313.789)
Guaranteed return of 4% -1,341.841***
(44.851)
Guaranteed return of 6% -2,512.539***
(63.706)
Constant 65.036*** 10,992.026***
(1.165) (186.095)
Observations 4,226 12,434
R2 0.048 0.055
Adjusted R2 0.046 0.054
* p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01. Robust standard errors are used for the evaluation regression and standard errors
for the allocation regressions are clustered at the participant level.